Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko: match statistics
Heart of Lions displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their ground and a high 78% clean sheets rate, which points to a solid defense on home turf. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches and hold an advantage in xG (1.85 vs 0.95), indicating offensive efficiency. Asante Kotoko struggles with effectiveness on the road – only a 22% win rate and a high 56% of matches without scoring, averaging just 0.56 goals per away game. Although the visitors have a better overall seasonal record and a slightly better form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG), their weaknesses in away performances and the dominance of Heart of Lions at home argue in favor of a home victory. The difference in xG as well as Heart of Lions' clean sheet percentage at home (78% vs Kotoko's 67% away) further supports this prediction.
Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heart of Lions played against Asante Kotoko in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Heart of Lions has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Asante Kotoko has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Heart of Lions scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.80. Asante Kotoko scores 1.37 and allows 0.58. Games in this league average 1.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Heart of Lions's games and 32% of Asante Kotoko's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 37%, compared with league averages of 34% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Asante Kotoko has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.46 per game. Heart of Lions takes 9.6 shots per game, while Asante Kotoko takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Heart of Lions leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Asante Kotoko leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heart of Lions's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Asante Kotoko, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ghana Premier League games average 1.91 goals. Both teams score in 34% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heart of Lions displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their ground and a high 78% clean sheets rate, which points to a solid defense on home turf. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches and hold an advantage in xG (1.85 vs 0.95), indicating offensive efficiency. Asante Kotoko struggles with effectiveness on the road – only a 22% win rate and a high 56% of matches without scoring, averaging just 0.56 goals per away game. Although the visitors have a better overall seasonal record and a slightly better form in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG), their weaknesses in away performances and the dominance of Heart of Lions at home argue in favor of a home victory. The difference in xG as well as Heart of Lions' clean sheet percentage at home (78% vs Kotoko's 67% away) further supports this prediction.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heart of Lions | Asante Kotoko | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Asante Kotoko is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Heart of Lions · 1.6 pts / game - Asante Kotoko
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Asante Kotoko is 52% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Heart of Lions · 1.37 goals / game - Asante Kotoko
Asante Kotoko is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Heart of Lions · 0.58 goals / game - Asante Kotoko
Heart of Lions scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Asante Kotoko keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 meczów).
Asante Kotoko scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Heart of Lions keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heart of Lions
Over / Under - Asante Kotoko
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heart of Lions - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Asante Kotoko - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heart of Lions
Asante Kotoko
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Heart of Lions | Liga | Asante Kotoko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.70 | 1.91 | • 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Heart of Lions's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Asante Kotoko. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Heart of Lions 3:1 Asante Kotoko. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
Heart of Lions score 0.90 goals per game on average and Asante Kotoko 1.37. The Ghana Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Heart of Lions's matches and 32% of Asante Kotoko's.
What form are Heart of Lions and Asante Kotoko in?
Over the last 5 games Heart of Lions have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Asante Kotoko 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.