Hearts vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Hearts vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hearts played against St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Tynecastle Park. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Hearts has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. St. Mirren has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hearts scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.14. St. Mirren scores 1.14 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 86% of Hearts's games and 29% of St. Mirren's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 43%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.47 per game. Hearts takes 15.6 shots per game, while St. Mirren takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Hearts leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. St. Mirren leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hearts's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For St. Mirren, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts have won all 3 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals, while St. Mirren average 1 goal away from home. The hosts also create significantly more chances: their home xG stands at 2.03, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.24, while shots on target average 7 and 3.33 per match, respectively. In their last 5 matches, Hearts recorded 3 wins and scored 10 goals, whereas St. Mirren won just once and conceded 9. However, the visitors have been capable defensively away from home, conceding an average of 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches, which tempers confidence in the pick. Despite this, Hearts’ advantage in the number and quality of chances, along with their home form in front of goal, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Hearts featured in matches with both teams scoring in 80% of their last five games, compared with 40% for St. Mirren. The hosts averaged 2 goals scored during this period, while the visitors conceded 1.8, which supports the prospect of Hearts finding the net despite St. Mirren keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their away matches. The visitors’ chances of scoring are supported by their average away xG of 1.24 and the fact that Hearts conceded an average of 2 goals at home. However, caution is warranted: St. Mirren have yet to record an away match in which both teams scored, so the edge on BTTS - Yes remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 75% of Hearts’ home matches and 100% of St. Mirren’s away matches. The visitors concede an average of just 0.33 goals away from home, limiting the hosts’ scoring potential despite their average xG of 1.64. On the other hand, Hearts concede an average of 2.0 goals at home, while St. Mirren score 1.0 goal away, so a very low-scoring result is not guaranteed. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% of the teams’ respective last five matches, but the projected total of 2.55 goals still gives Under 3.5 a stronger edge than the lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT/FT pick is a draw at half-time followed by a Hearts win, although this scenario has only a slight edge over the alternatives. St. Mirren led at the break in 3 of its last 5 matches, but averaged only 0.67 goals in the first half across the season, so its strong starts do not necessarily translate into a half-time lead. Hearts won 3 of its last 5 matches and scored an average of 2 goals in those games, while St. Mirren won only once and conceded an average of 1.8 goals. The difference is even clearer after the break: in their last 5 matches, Hearts averaged 1 goal in the second half, while St. Mirren scored none during that period and conceded an average of 0.8. This supports a scenario in which the first half is closely contested before the home side turns the result in its favor.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hearts | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hearts is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Hearts · 0.8 pts / game - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 75% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Hearts · 1.14 goals / game - St. Mirren
Hearts is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Hearts · 1.29 goals / game - St. Mirren
Hearts scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
St. Mirren scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hearts
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / game - Hearts · 2 pts / game - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 43%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hearts
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hearts | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.14 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Hearts's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against St. Mirren. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hearts vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Hearts 5:0 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and St. Mirren?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hearts won 1, St. Mirren won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hearts vs St. Mirren?
Hearts score 2.00 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 1.14. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Hearts's matches and 29% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Hearts and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Hearts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hearts vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.