Heerenveen vs Excelsior: match statistics
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Heerenveen vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heerenveen plays Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Recent form
Heerenveen has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Excelsior has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Heerenveen scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.38. Excelsior scores 2.00 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 3.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Heerenveen's games and 75% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 100%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 72% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heerenveen has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.34 per game. Heerenveen takes 15.4 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Heerenveen leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heerenveen's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.74 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 72% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Excelsior is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Heerenveen · 2 goals / game - Excelsior
Heerenveen is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Heerenveen · 1.75 goals / game - Excelsior
Heerenveen scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Excelsior scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Heerenveen · 1.38 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heerenveen
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 3.74 | • 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 16% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Heerenveen's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Excelsior. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Heerenveen and Excelsior play?
Heerenveen face Excelsior on October 16, 2026 in Eredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Excelsior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 2, Excelsior won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
Heerenveen score 1.38 goals per game on average and Excelsior 2.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Heerenveen's matches and 75% of Excelsior's.
What form are Heerenveen and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Excelsior 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heerenveen vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.