Heerenveen vs NEC: match statistics
Heerenveen vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heerenveen played against NEC in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Heerenveen has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. NEC has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Heerenveen scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.30. NEC scores 1.70 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Heerenveen's games and 90% of NEC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 73% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.71 per game. Heerenveen takes 15.3 shots per game, while NEC takes 15.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Heerenveen leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. NEC leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heerenveen's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For NEC, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.78 goals. Both teams score in 73% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen sit 7th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while NEC, 12th in the table, have managed just 1 win and recorded 4 draws over the same period. The hosts scored 11 goals and conceded 4 in those five matches, while the visitors scored 10 and conceded 8, pointing to Heerenveen’s stronger recent defensive record. At home, Heerenveen average 1.70 xG and 5.4 shots on target per match, compared with NEC’s 1.35 xG and 4.25 shots on target away from home. The visitors can still make their chances count, averaging 2 goals away with a 17% shot conversion rate, so a win for them cannot be ruled out. Heerenveen’s edge in the quality of chances created and recent defensive form makes them the more appealing pick, although NEC’s four draws in their last five matches increase the likelihood of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 100% of Heerenveen’s home matches and 75% of NEC’s away matches, pointing to goals from both teams. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.5 on the road; additionally, Heerenveen’s xG is 2.16, indicating the potential to create chances. NEC score an average of 2.0 goals away from home, while Heerenveen concede 2.0 at home, so the visitors also have a strong chance of getting on the scoresheet. Heerenveen’s form warrants some caution: BTTS landed in only 20% of their last 5 matches, and they conceded an average of 0.8 goals. Even so, NEC recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 matches, and neither team kept a clean sheet in their respective home and away games, making BTTS - Yes the stronger pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
All of Heerenveen’s home matches and NEC’s away matches so far have featured at least two goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest indicator. Heerenveen average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while NEC average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away, pointing to scoring potential for both sides. The hosts’ attack is also supported by an average xG of 2.16, although their actual conversion rate is lower. The 2.5-goal line also looks promising—it has been surpassed in 83% of Heerenveen’s home matches and 75% of NEC’s away matches—but offers a smaller margin of safety than the selected Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Heerenveen led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while NEC failed to lead in any and conceded an average of 1.4 goals before half-time. This points to the home side leading at the break, although their longer-term record is less convincing: they did not lead at half-time in any of their six matches. Heerenveen’s recent form supports them maintaining their advantage, with 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored, compared with NEC’s 1.6 goals conceded. The hosts also average 2.16 xG against the visitors’ 1.35, strengthening the case for 1/1 in the HT/FT market. The risk of a draw remains significant, as NEC have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and won the second half in 3 of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Heerenveen is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Heerenveen · 0.8 pts / game - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.8 goals / game - Heerenveen · 1.7 goals / game - NEC
Heerenveen is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Heerenveen · 1.8 goals / game - NEC
Heerenveen scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
NEC scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Heerenveen · 1.1 pts / game - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heerenveen
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.10 | 3.78 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | • 90% | 90% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Heerenveen's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against NEC. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs NEC?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 1:0 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and NEC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1, NEC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs NEC?
Heerenveen score 1.80 goals per game on average and NEC 1.70. The Eredivisie average is 3.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Heerenveen's matches and 90% of NEC's.
What form are Heerenveen and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and NEC 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs NEC?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.