Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heerenveen played against PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Heerenveen has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. PEC Zwolle has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Heerenveen scores 1.59 goals per game and allows 1.68. PEC Zwolle scores 1.41 and allows 2.05. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Heerenveen's games and 68% of PEC Zwolle's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 68%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heerenveen has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.06 per game. Heerenveen takes 15.9 shots per game, while PEC Zwolle takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Heerenveen leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.95 goals per game after halftime. PEC Zwolle leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heerenveen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For PEC Zwolle, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PEC Zwolle is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Heerenveen · 1.4 pts / game - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.59 goals / game - Heerenveen · 1.41 goals / game - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.68 goals / game - Heerenveen · 2.05 goals / game - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
PEC Zwolle scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.27 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 19% | • 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 82% | 82% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Heerenveen's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against PEC Zwolle. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 4:2 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Heerenveen score 1.59 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.41. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Heerenveen's matches and 68% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.