Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen play PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 15 February 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.29 and concedes 2.09. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 66%, PEC Zwolle 68%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 71%, PEC Zwolle 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.12. Heerenveen: 14.9 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 9.7.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Heerenveen hold a clear advantage in this matchup, especially in terms of their home game quality. The hosts average 1.84 xG per home match, which is significantly better than PEC Zwolle's 0.99 xG on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' defense, which concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away match and has only a 9% win rate on away grounds. Heerenveen dominate in terms of possession (53% vs 46%) and also take significantly more shots (16.64 vs 8.45), indicating greater control of the game. Despite slightly poorer form in their last five matches, the hosts should exploit the defensive weaknesses of PEC Zwolle and secure three points. The difference in home/away goal difference (-1 vs -14) further confirms Heerenveen's superiority.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heerenveen is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen · 0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen · 1.29 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen · 2.09 goals / match - PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
PEC Zwolle scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Heerenveen
Over / Under — PEC Zwolle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen · 1.24 pts / match - PEC Zwolle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heerenveen 0 - 0 - 1 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 4:2 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Heerenveen score 1.69 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.29. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Heerenveen's matches and 68% of PEC Zwolle's.
What form are Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The statistical background for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.