Heracles vs Excelsior: match statistics
The match between Heracles and Excelsior shapes up as a clash between two teams in poor form, which points towards a draw. Heracles sits in 18th place in the table with a record of 5-3-19 and a disastrous series of 5 last matches without a win (0.2 points per game), conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Excelsior performs even worse, being in 15th position and losing all of their last 5 matches without earning any points. The hosts have a minimal advantage due to slightly better home statistics (31% wins at home vs 23% away for Excelsior) and a higher xG (1.52 vs 1.25). Both teams are characterized by a high percentage of matches without goals scored and a similar average ball possession (45%). Given the terrible form of both sides and the balanced statistics, the most probable outcome seems to be a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win.
Heracles vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Heracles played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Heracles has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Excelsior has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Heracles scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 2.56. Excelsior scores 1.04 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Heracles's games and 63% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 63%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Excelsior has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.23 per game. Heracles takes 11.0 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Heracles leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Heracles's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Heracles and Excelsior shapes up as a clash between two teams in poor form, which points towards a draw. Heracles sits in 18th place in the table with a record of 5-3-19 and a disastrous series of 5 last matches without a win (0.2 points per game), conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Excelsior performs even worse, being in 15th position and losing all of their last 5 matches without earning any points. The hosts have a minimal advantage due to slightly better home statistics (31% wins at home vs 23% away for Excelsior) and a higher xG (1.52 vs 1.25). Both teams are characterized by a high percentage of matches without goals scored and a similar average ball possession (45%). Given the terrible form of both sides and the balanced statistics, the most probable outcome seems to be a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Heracles · 1.04 goals / game - Excelsior
Excelsior is 51% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.56 goals / game - Heracles · 1.7 goals / game - Excelsior
Heracles scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 meczów).
Excelsior scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Heracles · 1.37 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 26%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Heracles
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.74 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 64% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 19% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Heracles's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Excelsior. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 1:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs Excelsior?
Heracles score 1.19 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.04. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Heracles's matches and 63% of Excelsior's.
What form are Heracles and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Excelsior 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs Excelsior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.