Finland - VeikkausliigaBolt ArenaData current as of 23 July 2026

HJK vs TPS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HJK vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HJK play TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Bolt Arena.

Current form

HJK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

HJK scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HJK 44%, TPS 56%. Over 2.5: HJK 56%, TPS 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.45. HJK: 13.0 shots per match, TPS: 11.7.

Match halves

HJK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06. TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

HJK: 76-90+ (7 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.50)
(4.35)
(5.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.69Goals scored / match1.25
HJKTPS
1.25Goals conceded / match1.19
HJKTPS
52%Average possession47%
HJKTPS
4.44Shots on target / match4.38
HJKTPS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match11.69
HJKTPS
4.44Shots on target4.38
HJKTPS
13%Shot conversion10.7%
HJKTPS
52%Possession47%
HJKTPS
1.53xG for1.45
HJKTPS
1.46xG against1.59
HJKTPS

Shooting quality

HJK: Efficient finishingTPS: Balanced
HJKTPS
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK
DWLLW
Season result split
44% W25% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
TPS
DWLWL
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - HJK · 1.25 goals / match - TPS

TPS is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - HJK · 1.19 goals / match - TPS

HJK scoring profile: strong

HJK scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

27Goals scored (season)20
HJKTPS
20Goals conceded (season)19
HJKTPS
2.94Average goals in match2.44
HJKTPS
9Goals scored (last 5)8
HJKTPS
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
HJKTPS

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal81%
HJKTPS
44%2 goals31%
HJKTPS
31%3 goals13%
HJKTPS
13%4 goals0%
HJKTPS

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
HJKTPS
38%2 goals38%
HJKTPS
13%3 goals13%
HJKTPS
6%4 goals0%
HJKTPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
HJKTPS
13%BTTS in both halves6%
HJKTPS
44%Scored in both halves25%
HJKTPS

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
HJKTPS
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
HJKTPS
40%BTTS - last 560%
HJKTPS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
HJKTPS
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
HJKTPS
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
HJKTPS

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
HJKTPS
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
HJKTPS
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
HJKTPS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - HJK · 1 pts / match - TPS

HJK - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing
TPS - half-time state
19% leading44% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1
HJKTPS
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.56
HJKTPS
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
HJKTPS
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.19
HJKTPS
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
HJKTPS
38%No goal before half-time56%
HJKTPS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)1.38
HJKTPS
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
HJKTPS
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
HJKTPS
1.69Average goals (2nd half)1.25
HJKTPS
56%Clean sheet after half-time50%
HJKTPS
44%No goal after half-time38%
HJKTPS

HJK - second-half results

44% W31% R25% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TPS - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HJK
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

HJKLigaTPS
Average goals in match 2.942.67 2.44
Both teams scored 44%51% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%47% 50%
Clean sheets 31%28% 31%
Goal before half-time 88%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 81%78% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: HJK 0 - 0 - 1 TPS. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do HJK and TPS play?

HJK face TPS on 26 July 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Bolt Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs TPS?

HJK score 1.69 goals per game on average and TPS 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of HJK's matches and 56% of TPS's.

What form are HJK and TPS in?

Over the last 5 games HJK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and TPS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs TPS?

The statistical background for HJK vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.