Hobro vs Middelfart: match statistics
Hobro vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hobro played against Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Venue: DS Arena. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Hobro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Middelfart has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Hobro scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.32. Middelfart scores 0.97 and allows 2.39. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Hobro's games and 58% of Middelfart's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 71%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hobro has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.22 per game. Hobro takes 12.0 shots per game, while Middelfart takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Hobro leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Middelfart leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hobro's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Middelfart, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hobro is the favorite: they sit 10th vs 12th for Middelfart, have 10 wins this season compared to just 3 away wins for the visitors, and have scored 37 goals vs 30. Middelfart’s defense is a major issue – the visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals away and have shipped 74 goals overall, while Hobro concedes 1.6 at home and 41 in total; in the last 5 matches Middelfart conceded 12 goals and Hobro 7. In attack Hobro creates more chances: on average 12.8 shots and 4.33 on target per home game vs 10.13 and 2.93 for Middelfart; despite a slightly lower conversion rate (8% vs 9%), Hobro has a higher xG (1.48 vs 1.21), indicating more high-quality chances. Form confirms the home advantage: in the last 5 matches Hobro are 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss and average 1.6 points per game, while Middelfart have 1 win and 4 losses with 0.6 points per game; additionally clean sheets occur in 27% of Hobro’s home games vs 7% of away games for the visitors. Based on these numbers I forecast a Hobro win, estimating the probabilities as: home win 65%, draw 20%, Middelfart win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 56% (Hobro) and 60% (Middelfart), versus a league average BTTS of 55%, indicating a tilt toward a Goal/Goal outcome. Clean sheets are rare: clean sheet percentages are only 6% (Hobro) and 7% (Middelfart), while seasonal average goals conceded are 2.44 and 2.33, so both defenses are prone to concessions. In the last 5 matches Hobro have conceded 7 goals (1.4 per match) and Middelfart 12 goals (2.4 per match), further confirming the visitors' defensive vulnerability. xG indicates both sides create chances — xG for is 1.22 (Hobro) and 1.21 (Middelfart), and xG against is 1.64 and 1.97 — so the risk of goals from both teams is high. Additionally, 75% of Hobro’s matches and 67% of Middelfart’s matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the combined 'over2.5 and BTTS' occurs in 56% and 60% of their matches, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability split of 78% vs 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams display weak defending: Hobro concedes an average of 2.44 goals per match and Middelfart 2.33, with Middelfart having let in 74 goals this season versus Hobro’s 41, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. xG is 1.22 for Hobro and 1.21 for Middelfart, with xG against of 1.64 (Hobro) and 1.97 (Middelfart); averaging these values yields expected goals of roughly 1.60 for the home side and 1.42 for the visitors, totaling ~3.02. Seasonal over rates are high: Over 1.5 is 75% (Hobro) and 80% (Middelfart), while Over 2.5 is 75% and 67%; additionally the percentage of matches where both teams scored is 56% for Hobro and 60% for Middelfart, so many games feature goals at both ends. Hobro averages 3.69 shots on target, Middelfart 2.93, and clean sheets occur in only 6% and 7% of matches, confirming a propensity for goals. Based on this, I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Hobro were level at the break in 44% of matches and Middelfart in 40%, so the most common state at 45 minutes is a draw. Second halves produce a lot of goals — in second halves Hobro average 1.88 goals (94% of matches have at least one goal in the second half), and Middelfart 1.80 (87% of such matches), which increases the likelihood of a decision after the break. Hobro have been in better form recently: 40% wins in their last 5 matches versus 20% for Middelfart, and the average points gained by half-time in the last 5 matches are 1.4 for Hobro and 1.2 for Middelfart, so it is more likely that the home side will decide the match after the break. Additionally the away defense is weaker according to xG: Middelfart concede on average 1.97 xG against them versus 1.64 for Hobro, and the hosts register more shots on target (3.69 vs 2.93), which favors a Hobro win in the second half. Given the low season win rates (Hobro 6%, Middelfart 13%) and the low first-half goal averages (0.56 and 0.53), the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Hobro win at full-time (X/1), while a full-time draw (X/X) is also a realistic outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hobro is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Hobro · 0.6 pts / game - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hobro is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Hobro · 0.97 goals / game - Middelfart
Hobro is 81% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Hobro · 2.39 goals / game - Middelfart
Hobro scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 meczów).
Middelfart scores in 61% of games (19 of 31 meczów), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hobro
Over / Under - Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hobro is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Hobro · 0.9 pts / game - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hobro
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.52 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hobro's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Middelfart. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 3:2 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hobro and Middelfart?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hobro won 2, Middelfart won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs Middelfart?
Hobro score 1.19 goals per game on average and Middelfart 0.97. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Hobro's matches and 58% of Middelfart's.
What form are Hobro and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Middelfart 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs Middelfart?
The statistical background for Hobro vs Middelfart — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.