Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hoffenheim played against Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: PreZero Arena. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Hoffenheim has 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.75 points per game. Hamburger SV has 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 0.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Hoffenheim scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 2.50. Hamburger SV scores 0.50 and allows 3.25. Games in this league average 3.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Hoffenheim's games and 25% of Hamburger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 75%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hoffenheim has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.08 per game. Hoffenheim takes 19.0 shots per game, while Hamburger SV takes 9.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Hoffenheim leads at halftime in 75% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Hamburger SV leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hoffenheim's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Hamburger SV, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.81 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim have a clear attacking edge at home, averaging 2 goals and 7 shots on target per match, while Hamburger SV have yet to score away from home and average 3.5 shots on target. The quality of chances also favors the hosts: their home xG is 2.16, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.09. Hamburger SV’s defense concedes an average of 2.08 xG away from home and 3.5 goals per match, increasing Hoffenheim’s chances of capitalizing on their advantage. The hosts are not entirely reliable defensively, however, conceding an average of 2 goals at home and losing four of their last five matches. The visitors have won their last two games but lost both of their away matches so far, making a Hoffenheim win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Hamburger SV’s away scoring record: an average of 0 goals scored and no goals in 100% of their away matches so far. Over their last five matches, the visitors have averaged 0.8 goals, with both teams scoring in just 20% of their games, compared with 80% for Hoffenheim. The hosts concede an average of 3 goals at home, so a Hamburg goal remains a realistic possibility, particularly given their away xG of 1.09. Even so, the visitors’ ongoing away scoring problems outweigh Hoffenheim’s defensive frailties, making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Hoffenheim averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while Hamburger SV averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded, pointing to clear defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Hoffenheim created chances worth 2.22 xG per match over this period, while their opponents averaged 1.72 xG against Hamburger SV. The Over 2.5 goals line was hit in 80% of Hoffenheim’s last 5 matches and 60% of Hamburger SV’s, although the visitors’ lower scoring output makes a higher-scoring game less certain. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been hit in 100% of Hoffenheim’s home matches and Hamburger SV’s away matches to date, with the projected total standing at 3.35 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Hoffenheim to lead at the break comes from Hamburger SV’s away record: the visitors were trailing at half-time in both of their matches so far and failed to score in either. Hoffenheim led at the break in 1 of 2 home games, and in their recent matches they averaged 0.5 goals before half-time compared with the visitors’ 0.2. Hamburger SV’s average of 3.5 goals conceded away from home and Hoffenheim’s 1.4 goals scored per game across their last five matches also support the lead being maintained, so I favor the 1/1 scenario in the HT/FT market. This is not a risk-free pick, however: the hosts concede an average of 3 goals at home, while the visitors have won 2 of their last 5 matches, so a turnaround remains a realistic possibility. The small sample of two home and two away matches further limits confidence in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 250% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 0.5 goals / game - Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.5 goals / game - Hoffenheim · 3.25 goals / game - Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).
Hamburger SV scores in 25% of games (1 of 4 games), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / game - Hoffenheim · 0.75 pts / game - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 0% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.25 | 3.81 | • 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hoffenheim's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Hamburger SV. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 2:3 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 2, Hamburger SV won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
Hoffenheim score 1.75 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 0.50. The Bundesliga average is 3.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Hoffenheim's matches and 25% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Hamburger SV 1-0-3 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.