Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Homeboyz plays Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Venue: Bukhungu Stadium.
Recent form
Homeboyz has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Gor Mahia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Homeboyz scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Gor Mahia scores 2.00 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Homeboyz's games and 33% of Gor Mahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 33%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Homeboyz has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.73 per game. Homeboyz takes 16.5 shots per game, while Gor Mahia takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Homeboyz leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Homeboyz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Gor Mahia, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Homeboyz | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Homeboyz · 3 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Homeboyz · 2 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Homeboyz is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Homeboyz · 0.67 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Homeboyz scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).
Gor Mahia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Homeboyz
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 234% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Homeboyz · 1.67 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Homeboyz - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Homeboyz
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Homeboyz | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 1.90 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Homeboyz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses against Gor Mahia. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Homeboyz and Gor Mahia play?
Homeboyz face Gor Mahia on October 28, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Bukhungu Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Homeboyz and Gor Mahia?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Homeboyz won 0, Gor Mahia won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?
Homeboyz score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Homeboyz's matches and 33% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Homeboyz and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Gor Mahia 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


