Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: match statistics
Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hungerford Town played against Havant & Waterlooville in Southern League Premier South (England). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Hungerford Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Havant & Waterlooville has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Hungerford Town scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 2.05. Havant & Waterlooville scores 1.84 and allows 1.68. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Hungerford Town's games and 59% of Havant & Waterlooville's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 70%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hungerford Town has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.22 per game. Hungerford Town takes 2.8 shots per game, while Havant & Waterlooville takes 2.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Hungerford Town leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Havant & Waterlooville leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.05 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hungerford Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Havant & Waterlooville, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Southern League Premier South games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Havant & Waterlooville have a shooting advantage this season — 68 goals vs 45 for Hungerford — and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches compared to only 3 for the hosts. Hungerford, however, creates more chances at home: on average 11.57 shots, 5.29 shots on target and xG 1.70 per match, while Havant away average 7.5 shots, 3.67 shots on target and xG 0.99. Both teams are defensively vulnerable (avg. 1.78 goals conceded), but Havant are better at avoiding defeats without scoring (FTS 17% vs 33% for the hosts) and have a higher away goals average (1.56 vs 1.11 for the hosts). Considering the visitors’ clearer finishing efficiency and superior away goal differential (goal difference -4 vs -12 for the hosts), I predict a Havant & Waterlooville win. I estimate probabilities at about 45% for the visitors, 30% for the hosts and 25% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) market looks more likely — season BTTS rates are 58% for Hungerford and 61% for Havant, versus a league average of 60%. Both teams have low clean sheet rates (26% and 22%) and have conceded high totals this season (Hungerford 76, Havant 62), with average concessions of 1.58 and 1.78 goals per game, which fosters two-way scoring opportunities. Recent form over the last 5 matches is mixed: Havant have BTTS in 80% and score on average 1.8 goals, while Hungerford have averaged only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 but have conceded 2.4 on average, so the hosts are also vulnerable defensively. xG and shot metrics corroborate the scoring potential: home xG 1.45 vs away 0.99, homes average 10.83 shots and 4.67 on target with an 18% conversion, visitors 7.5 shots and 3.67 on target with a 7% conversion. Considering the above, I estimate BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and recommend a BTTS - Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis shows a strong goal trend: the home side (Hungerford Town) averages 2.11 goals per match, the away side (Havant & Waterlooville) 1.56 (combined 3.67), and team xG is 1.45 for the home team and 0.99 for the away team; after adjusting for opponent defense (xG against 1.44 for Havant and 1.21 for Hungerford) I estimate expected goals at approximately 1.45 for Hungerford and 1.10 for Havant (total 2.55). Supporting the Over are seasonal percentages: Over 1.5 occurred in 79% of home matches and 89% of away matches, and Over 2.5 in 68% and 72% — a strong signal for at least 2–3 goals. Additionally, both teams score in 58% and 61% of matches; hosts average 4.67 shots on target with an 18% conversion versus 3.67 shots and 7% conversion for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of chances being converted. The last 5 matches show weaker form for the home team (3 scored and 12 conceded), which may increase result volatility but does not materially reduce the chance of at least two total goals. Based on this, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (high 79%/89% rates and expected ~2.55 goals), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT/FT analysis indicates a roughly 38% probability of a draw at the break — Havant led at half-time in 44% of away matches, while Hungerford did so in only 16%, yielding a balanced draw projection. After the break the home side statistically dominates: Hungerford averages 1.53 second-half goals at home versus 0.56 for Havant, and a second-half Poisson model gives about a 61% chance that the hosts will score more when the score is level at the break. Consequently the X/1 scenario (draw at half-time, Hungerford win) is the strongest signal at 23% probability, slightly ahead of 1/1 (21%). Additionally, the hosts’ xG of 1.45 versus 0.99 for the visitors and shot conversion rates of 18% vs 7% confirm the higher quality of home chances, and time-sliced stats (14 home goals in 76–90' vs 5 for the away side) underline their strength late on, supporting the X/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hungerford Town | Havant & Waterlooville | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.26 | 2.71 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Havant & Waterlooville is 51% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Hungerford Town · 1.84 goals / game - Havant & Waterlooville
Havant & Waterlooville is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.05 goals / game - Hungerford Town · 1.68 goals / game - Havant & Waterlooville
Hungerford Town scores in 73% of games (27 of 37 meczów), while Havant & Waterlooville keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 meczów).
Havant & Waterlooville scores in 81% of games (30 of 37 meczów), while Hungerford Town keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hungerford Town
Over / Under - Havant & Waterlooville
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Havant & Waterlooville is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - Hungerford Town · 1.27 pts / game - Havant & Waterlooville
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hungerford Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Havant & Waterlooville - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hungerford Town
Havant & Waterlooville
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Hungerford Town | Liga | Havant & Waterlooville | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.27 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 60% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 22% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalMichael Fowler
- Havant & WaterloovilleGoalFreddie Taylor
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hungerford Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Havant & Waterlooville. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Hungerford Town 0:2 Havant & Waterlooville. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Hungerford Town score 1.22 goals per game on average and Havant & Waterlooville 1.84. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Hungerford Town's matches and 59% of Havant & Waterlooville's.
What form are Hungerford Town and Havant & Waterlooville in?
Over the last 5 games Hungerford Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Havant & Waterlooville 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hungerford Town vs Havant & Waterlooville: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.