ÍBV vs Valur: match statistics
ÍBV vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
ÍBV played against Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Venue: Hásteinsvöllur. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
ÍBV has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Valur has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
ÍBV scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 2.17. Valur scores 1.85 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 4.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of ÍBV's games and 77% of Valur's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 77%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valur has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.31 per game. ÍBV takes 11.2 shots per game, while Valur takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
ÍBV leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Valur leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
ÍBV's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Valur, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.06 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
ÍBV holds a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches they scored 15 goals (3.0 per match), won 3 and drew 2, averaging 2.2 points per game. Valur over the same period scored only 7 goals (1.4 per match), lost 3 of 5 fixtures and conceded 12 goals (2.4 per match), amounting to just 0.8 points per game. This season ÍBV at home averages 2.0 goals with 10.5 shots and 4.5 on target (conversion 19%), while Valur away attempts more shots (14.33) and has a higher xG (1.64 vs 1.28 for ÍBV) but a lower conversion (14%). Defensively Valur concedes statistically less on the road (1.83 goals per match vs 2.17 for ÍBV at home), however their 12 goals conceded in the last 5 games indicate a drop in defensive form, whereas ÍBV conceded 6 in that span. Considering the markedly superior form, significantly higher goals in the last 5 matches and the home side’s finishing efficiency, I predict an ÍBV win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS (both teams to score) as the more likely outcome with an estimated probability of 81% versus 19% for No BTTS. The home team posts a season BTTS rate of 86% and 100% in their last 5 matches, while Valur records 67% season BTTS and 80% in their last 5, giving a clear bias towards Goal/Goal. Goals data show the hosts average 1.71 scored and 2.14 conceded per match, while the visitors average 2.00 scored and 1.83 conceded; over the last 5 games the hosts scored 3.0 on average and the visitors conceded 2.4, indicating risk of goals from both sides. xG are similar (1.68 for the hosts vs 1.64 for the visitors), shots on target 5.14 vs 5.5, and clean sheet expected rates are low (14% and 17%); additionally over 2.5 goals occurs for the hosts in 86% and for the visitors in 67%, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination is 71% and 67%. Considering the league average of 4.08 goals and the league season BTTS of 74%, the strongest signal from the data supports a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG and defensive metrics I estimate approximately 1.92 goals for ÍBV (attacking xG 1.68 and xG conceded vs Valur 2.16 average to 1.92) and approximately 1.92 goals for Valur (attacking xG 1.64 and xG conceded vs ÍBV 2.19 giving 1.92), totaling ~3.84 goals. Season stats confirm a high-goal profile: ÍBV have 100% of matches >1.5 goals and 86% >2.5, Valur record 67% >1.5 and 67% >2.5, with the league average at 4.08 goals per match. In the last 5 matches ÍBV scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2), combining to 4.2 goals per game; Valur in their last 5 have 7 scored (1.4) and 12 conceded (2.4) giving 3.8 goals per game, indicating elevated-scoring fixtures. Both teams generate chances (avg 5.14 and 5.5 shots on target) with conversion rates of 12% and 14%, and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 86% for ÍBV and 67% for Valur, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. As a result the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (expected total 3.84 and home side 100% >1.5), while Over 2.5 also has solid support (86%/67% and league 72% Over 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (ÍBV leads at the break and wins) because the home side led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and in those five games averaged 1.4 goals by half-time versus Valur’s 0.6. Recent form over the last 5 matches further favors ÍBV: in that period the hosts have a 60% win rate (3 of 5) and average 3.0 goals scored compared to Valur’s 1.4. Both teams create similar chances (xG 1.68 for ÍBV vs 1.64 for Valur), but both also concede a lot (xG against of approximately 2.19 and 2.16), which together with high percentages of both-teams-to-score matches (BTTS 86% for ÍBV, 67% for Valur) points to a goal-filled contest. First-half statistics support an early lead for the hosts — average goals by half-time are 2.0 for ÍBV and 2.33 for Valur, and over 1.5 goals by half-time occurred in 71% and 67% of matches respectively. Therefore the safest signal is ÍBV maintaining the lead through to full-time — the HT/FT prediction 1/1 received the highest probability at 34%, with the remaining scenarios accounting for the other 66%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| ÍBV | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
ÍBV is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - ÍBV · 0.8 pts / game - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - ÍBV · 1.85 goals / game - Valur
Valur is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.17 goals / game - ÍBV · 2 goals / game - Valur
ÍBV scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 meczów), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
Valur scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍBV
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - ÍBV · 1.46 pts / game - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
ÍBV
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍBV | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.92 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▲ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 87% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from ÍBV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Valur. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍBV vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍBV 1:0 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍBV and Valur?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍBV won 1, Valur won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍBV vs Valur?
ÍBV score 1.75 goals per game on average and Valur 1.85. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 83% of ÍBV's matches and 77% of Valur's.
What form are ÍBV and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games ÍBV have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍBV vs Valur?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.