Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ikorodu City played against Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Ikorodu City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Warri Wolves has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ikorodu City scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 0.74. Warri Wolves scores 0.90 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 1.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Ikorodu City's games and 39% of Warri Wolves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 19% and 29%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Warri Wolves has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.34 per game. Ikorodu City takes 7.2 shots per game, while Warri Wolves takes 5.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ikorodu City leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Warri Wolves leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ikorodu City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Warri Wolves, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.89 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ikorodu City show a clear home statistical advantage: 73% wins, only 0.2 GA per match and 80% matches without conceding, indicating a very solid defense. Home xG for 1.54 exceeds xG against (0.91) and 56% average possession suggests match control. Warri Wolves have weaker away metrics: only 27% away wins, 1.33 GA on average and high away xG against 2.18, with low offensive output 0.87 goals per match. Recent forms are similar, but home defensive strength and efficiency make Ikorodu favorites. I predict a home win with moderately high probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Home defensive edge preferred—seasonCSPercentage_home 63% and league CS 76% imply frequent clean sheets. Ikorodu has higher xG_for (1.69) than Warri (1.24) and more shots, but actual goal averages are low (0.94 vs 0.87), indicating finishing issues. Warri Wolves’ defense is weaker by xG (xg_against_avg_away 2.18) and higher season conceded (1.33), increasing Ikorodu’s chance to score. However, league trends (league_seasonAVG_overall 1.88) and low home season BTTS (31%) indicate reduced away scoring risk. Prefer 'no'—one side likely keeps a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model on available stats indicates high probability of clearing the 1.5 line. Ikorodu xG_for 1.69 and opponent xG_against 2.18 produce a high expected volume of scoring chances; both teams also generate sensible shot numbers (12.5 vs 8.08). Season Over2.5 rates are moderate, but adjusted xG and poor Warri Wolves defense (ga_season_away 29, xg_against_avg_away 2.18) push the chance for extra goals. BTTS is moderate and CS% favors hosts, but overall offensive potential leans to overs. Recommendation: Over 1.5 as the strongest and most confident signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data suggest a high probability of a draw at Half-Time (Ikorodu has 69% HT draws; both teams have low average goals to 45' ~0.31–0.33). After the break the advantage lies with the hosts: better xG (1.69 vs 1.24), higher PPG and stronger defensive metrics against opponent xG, indicating greater chances for Ikorodu to score in the second half. The league and hosts feature high HT clean sheet rates and low scoring, limiting multi-goal combinations. Warri Wolves’ poor away form (high loss percentages and inferior defensive stats) raises the probability of a home win after Half-Time, hence HT=draw, FT=home (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ikorodu City | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Warri Wolves is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ikorodu City · 1.2 pts / game - Warri Wolves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Ikorodu City · 0.94 goals / game - Warri Wolves
Ikorodu City scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 meczów).
Warri Wolves scores in 65% of games (20 of 31 meczów), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 55% (17 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Ikorodu City · 1 pts / game - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ikorodu City
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Ikorodu City | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.68 | 1.89 | • 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▲ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 38% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Ikorodu City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Warri Wolves. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 4:3 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?
Ikorodu City score 0.94 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.90. The NPFL average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Ikorodu City's matches and 39% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Ikorodu City and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Warri Wolves 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.