Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre: match statistics
Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente FBC played against 3 de Noviembre in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Independiente FBC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. 3 de Noviembre has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente FBC scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.20. 3 de Noviembre scores 1.00 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Independiente FBC's games and 80% of 3 de Noviembre's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente FBC has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 0.97 per game. Independiente FBC takes 11.2 shots per game, while 3 de Noviembre takes 6.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente FBC leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. 3 de Noviembre leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente FBC's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For 3 de Noviembre, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Intermedia games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente FBC sit 6th with a season record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 6; 3 de Noviembre are 14th with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7. At home Independiente have a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match with 13.5 shots and 6 on target; their home xG is 1.62 versus opponents’ xG 1.08. 3 de Noviembre have no away wins (0), score 0.5 goals on average and have 50% scoreless matches away, averaging 6.5 shots and 2 on target per game, with away xG 0.93 and conceding 1.5 on average. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (form: draw, win, draw, win, loss; 1.6 points per game), while the visitors have not won in their last 5 and average 0.6 points per game (form: draw, loss, draw, loss, draw). Considering the home advantage in chance creation (13.5 vs 6.5 shots, 6 vs 2 on target), higher xG (1.62 vs 0.93), better efficiency and the hosts’ unbeaten and clean-sheet home record, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 80% versus 20% No Goal. Independiente FBC has a home-seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, while 3 de Noviembre posts 50% seasonally and as high as 80% in the last 5 matches, signaling a strong Goal/Goal likelihood. Both teams concede above 1 goal on average: Independiente 1.33 goals per match, 3 de Noviembre 1.5, and in the last 5 fixtures these figures are 1.2 and 1.4 respectively, increasing the risk of conceding. Additionally, Independiente has 1.33 goals scored seasonally and xG 1.03 with a 20% conversion rate, while 3 de Noviembre has xG 0.93, 8% conversion and 5 goals in the season, so the hosts should find the net but the visitors can score as well. Although the league-wide BTTS occurs in 45% of matches and clean sheets in 63%, the fact that both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and a high number of goals conceded supports the Both Teams To Score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on season averages I expect 1.41 goals for Independiente FBC (home average 1.33 scored and 3 de Noviembre conceded 1.50) and 0.92 goals for 3 de Noviembre (away average 0.50 scored and hosts concede 1.33), totaling 2.33 goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.33 yields probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈67.6%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈41.3% and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈20.8%. This is supported by the hosts’ scoring profile: average 6.67 shots and a high conversion rate 20% versus 6.5 shots and 8% conversion for the visitors; seasonally Independiente’s home matches have 100% occurrence of over 1.5 goals and both teams scored in 100% of games. For these reasons the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈68%); Over 2.5 (≈41%) has a lower probability and is not as strong a pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Independiente FBC led at half-time in 2 of 3 matches (67%), whereas 3 de Noviembre were trailing at the break in 2 of 2 matches (100%), which strongly supports the home side as the first goalscorer. The hosts score early — one goal in the 0–15 and one in the 16–30 minute intervals (goals_scored_min_0_to_15_home = 1, goals_scored_min_16_to_30_home = 1) — and average 0.67 goals by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.67) while conceding 0.0 on average before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 0.0). However, they concede most goals in the second half: on average 1.33 goals in second halves (conceded_2hg_avg_home = 1.33) and lose second halves in 67% of cases (losses_2hg_percentage_home = 67%), while 100% of their second halves have seen goals (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 100%), which raises the risk of losing the lead. The hosts’ shot conversion rate is 20% versus the visitors’ 8% (shot_conversion_rate_home = 20.0, shot_conversion_rate_away = 8.0); hosts’ xG is 1.03 versus away xG 0.93 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.03, xg_for_avg_away = 0.93), but a weaker home defense (xg_against_avg_home = 1.6) indicates the half-time advantage is likely yet may be squandered — hence the HT/FT recommendation = 1/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente FBC | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente FBC is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Independiente FBC · 0.6 pts / game - 3 de Noviembre
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente FBC is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Independiente FBC · 1 goals / game - 3 de Noviembre
Independiente FBC is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Independiente FBC · 1.4 goals / game - 3 de Noviembre
Independiente FBC scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while 3 de Noviembre keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 meczów).
3 de Noviembre scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente FBC
Over / Under - 3 de Noviembre
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
3 de Noviembre is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - Independiente FBC · 1.4 pts / game - 3 de Noviembre
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente FBC - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
3 de Noviembre - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente FBC
3 de Noviembre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Independiente FBC | Liga | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.60 | 2.48 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre?
The Division Intermedia match finished Independiente FBC 2:0 3 de Noviembre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre?
Independiente FBC score 1.40 goals per game on average and 3 de Noviembre 1.00. The Division Intermedia average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Independiente FBC's matches and 80% of 3 de Noviembre's.
What form are Independiente FBC and 3 de Noviembre in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and 3 de Noviembre 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.