Paraguay - Division IntermediaEstadio Ricardo GregorData current as of September 22, 2026

Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Independiente FBC plays Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for September 25, 2026. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor.

Recent form

Independiente FBC has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Sportivo Carapeguá has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Independiente FBC scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.28. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.20 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Independiente FBC's games and 52% of Sportivo Carapeguá's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 44%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente FBC has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.30 per game. Independiente FBC takes 10.5 shots per game, while Sportivo Carapeguá takes 9.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Independiente FBC leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Sportivo Carapeguá leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Independiente FBC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Sportivo Carapeguá, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Intermedia games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.48Goals scored / game1.2
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.28Goals allowed / game1.52
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
51%Average possession51%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4Shots on target / game3.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.52Shots per game9.76
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4Shots on target3.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
14.1%Shot conversion12.3%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
51%Possession51%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.42xG for1.3
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.39xG against1.41
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Shooting quality

Independiente FBC: Efficient finishingSportivo Carapeguá: Balanced
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Independiente FBC
LDWWW
Season result split
36% W40% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-6
1.48 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Sportivo Carapeguá
WLWWD
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-10
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-5
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente FBC is 23% better for: goals scored per game.

1.48 goals / game - Independiente FBC · 1.2 goals / game - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.28 goals / game - Independiente FBC · 1.52 goals / game - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC scoring profile: very strong

Independiente FBC scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 games), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 games).

Sportivo Carapeguá scoring profile: strong

Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 games), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 games).

37Goals scored (season)30
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
32Goals conceded (season)38
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
2.76Average goals per game2.72
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal80%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
52%2 goals40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
8%3 goals0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4%4 goals0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal68%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
40%2 goals44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
12%3 goals20%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
8%4 goals8%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
Sportivo Carapeguá - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 25 games
56%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time20%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
20%Scored in both halves16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
40%BTTS - last 540%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
28%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente FBC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Independiente FBC · 0.92 pts / game - Sportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC - half-time state
16% leading52% draw32% trailing
Sportivo Carapeguá - half-time state
20% leading32% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.92
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.96
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.36
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
48%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
52%No goal before half-time60%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)1.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
68%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá
44%No goal after half-time44%
Independiente FBCSportivo Carapeguá

Independiente FBC - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
25
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results

36% W48% D16% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Independiente FBC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.20
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sportivo Carapeguá - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.60
Goals scored / game0.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Independiente FBC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
6
8
16-30
7
10
31-45
3
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Sportivo Carapeguá
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
9
10
31-45
6
4
46-60
7
1
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Independiente FBC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Sportivo Carapeguá

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).

Teams vs league

Independiente FBCLigaSportivo Carapeguá
Average goals per game 2.762.61 2.72
Both teams scored 60%56% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%46% 44%
Clean sheets 36%26% 32%
Goal before half-time 68%67% 76%
Goal after half-time 72%75% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Independiente FBC's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Sportivo Carapeguá. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Sportivo Carapeguá
0 : 2
Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
3 : 3
Club Sportivo Carapeguá
Club Sportivo Carapeguá
1 : 1
Independiente FBC Campo Grande

FAQ

When do Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá play?

Independiente FBC face Sportivo Carapeguá on September 25, 2026 in Division Intermedia at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente FBC won 1, Sportivo Carapeguá won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?

Independiente FBC score 1.48 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.20. The Division Intermedia average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Independiente FBC's matches and 52% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.

What form are Independiente FBC and Sportivo Carapeguá in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente FBC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.