Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas: match statistics
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Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Medellín plays Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Recent form
Independiente Medellín has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Once Caldas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Medellín scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.28. Once Caldas scores 1.44 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Independiente Medellín's games and 71% of Once Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 44%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.56 per game. Independiente Medellín takes 14.7 shots per game, while Once Caldas takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Once Caldas leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Medellín's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Once Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.28 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.21 goals / game - Once Caldas
Independiente Medellín scores in 84% of games (27 of 32 games), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 games).
Once Caldas scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 games), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.26 pts / game - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Medellín
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Medellín's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Once Caldas. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
When do Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas play?
Independiente Medellín face Once Caldas on October 18, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 2, Once Caldas won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellín score 1.47 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.44. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 71% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Once Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.