Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe: match statistics
Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Medellín played against Santa Fe in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on October 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Independiente Medellín has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Santa Fe has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Medellín scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.30. Santa Fe scores 1.56 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Medellín's games and 71% of Santa Fe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Medellín has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.42 per game. Independiente Medellín takes 14.6 shots per game, while Santa Fe takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Medellín leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Santa Fe leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Medellín's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Santa Fe, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Medellín win 50% of their home matches and score an average of 1.56 goals in them, while Santa Fe win 31% of their away games. The hosts create more chances: their average home xG is 1.75, compared with Santa Fe’s 1.31 away, although the visitors are more clinical in front of goal (11% conversion rate versus 10%). Santa Fe’s strengths include a solid away defense, conceding an average of 1.13 goals, and a better record over their last five matches: 2 wins compared with Medellín’s 1. However, the hosts conceded 9 goals during that period, against 6 for the visitors, so their advantage is not decisive. With 50% of Santa Fe’s away matches ending in a draw, a share of the points remains a significant possibility, but Medellín’s edge in chance creation favors the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: this has been the case in 61% of Independiente Medellín’s matches and 81% of Santa Fe’s matches this season, compared with 55% across the league. The hosts average 1.78 goals scored per match, while the visitors average 1.31. Santa Fe also keep a clean sheet in just 13% of their matches, strengthening the case for a Medellín goal. The visitors’ chances are supported by the fact that the hosts have conceded an average of 1.8 goals over their last five matches, while Santa Fe have scored 1.4 goals per game over the same period. The teams’ average xG across their last five matches—1.53 for Medellín and 1.55 for Santa Fe—also points to attacking potential on both sides, making BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 78% of Independiente Medellín matches and 81% of Santa Fe matches. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals, while the visitors concede 1.13; additionally, the hosts' xG stands at 1.53, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.62 xG. Santa Fe score an average of 1.31 goals, and Independiente Medellín have conceded 1.8 goals per match across their last five games, increasing the likelihood of the visitors getting on the scoresheet as well. The Over 2.5 goals line offers a weaker signal, having been cleared in 56% of the hosts' matches and just 44% of the visitors' matches, so Over 1.5 goals is the safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Santa Fe were level at the break in 69% of their matches, compared with 39% for Independiente Medellín. The hosts have not led at half-time in any of their last five matches, so 1/1 has less support than X/1. After the break, however, the season-long advantage belongs to Medellín: they won the second half in 56% of matches, compared with 31% for Santa Fe, and scored an average of 1.06 goals in those halves, while Santa Fe conceded 0.88 on average. Medellín’s average xG of 1.53, alongside the 1.62 xG Santa Fe concede, and their 44% win rate compared with the visitors’ 31% also support a home win at full-time. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Santa Fe have drawn 50% of their matches, making X/X a close alternative. However, X/1 best combines the tendency for a first-half draw with the hosts’ advantage after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Santa Fe is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 2 pts / game - Santa Fe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Fe is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.06 goals / game - Santa Fe
Independiente Medellín scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 games), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 games).
Santa Fe scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 games), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Santa Fe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Fe is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Independiente Medellín · 1.5 pts / game - Santa Fe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Carlos Alberto Lucumi GonzálezOff: Yony Alexander González Copete
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Nivaldo Yunior Erazo HernandezOff: John Edwin Montaño Preciado
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Medellín's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses against Santa Fe. Games average 2.20 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 0:1 Santa Fe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Santa Fe?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, Santa Fe won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín score 1.50 goals per game on average and Santa Fe 1.56. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 71% of Santa Fe's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Santa Fe in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Santa Fe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.