Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: match statistics
Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Independiente Petrolero played against Universitario de Vinto in LFPB (Bolivia). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Independiente Petrolero has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Universitario de Vinto has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Independiente Petrolero scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 2.00. Universitario de Vinto scores 2.00 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Petrolero's games and 67% of Universitario de Vinto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Universitario de Vinto has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 0.97 per game. Independiente Petrolero takes 9.0 shots per game, while Universitario de Vinto takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Independiente Petrolero leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Universitario de Vinto leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Independiente Petrolero's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Universitario de Vinto, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LFPB games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams exhibit serious issues in finishing and defending: Independiente Petrolero concedes an average of 3 goals in home matches and has a 100% home loss rate, while Universitario de Vinto has conceded 13 goals in the last 5 fixtures and averages 0.6 points per match in that period. In terms of chance creation the hosts are superior — on average 15 shots per home match, 4 on target, and average xG 1.45 versus 8 shots, 3 on target and xG 0.97 for the visitors. Nevertheless both sides show alarmingly low conversion relative to their home/away records (home team average goals at home 0 and away team average goals away 0), which points toward a low-scoring game. In the last 5 matches Independiente have scored 5 goals and recorded 1 win (form lldlw), while Universitario have scored 8 goals and also 1 win (llllw), highlighting instability in both squads. Considering the hosts’ advantage in xG and shot volume and only a marginally better points average for the home side (0.8 vs 0.6), I assign the highest probability to a draw (40%), with 35% for a home win and 25% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome: the home team has BTTS at 100% this season and over 2.5 goals in 100% of matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, which strongly favors both teams scoring. This is supported by league context and form — the league records BTTS in 59% of matches, and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches (3 of 5), providing a consistent signal. xG and shot metrics show the home side creates a lot (seasonal xG 1.97, 7.5 shots on target and 19.0 shots per game), while the away team, despite weaker season numbers (seasonal xG 0.97, 3.0 shots on target and 8.0 shots), have an xG of 1.65 in their last 5 and scored 8 goals, so they can respond with a goal. Negative signal comes from some seasonal values for the visitors (average goals scored 0.0 and seasonal BTTS 0.0), but these conflict with recent form (8 scored and 13 conceded in 5 matches), so I give them lower weight. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 75% Yes and 25% No, choosing 'yes' as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG data shows home xG 1.97 and away xG 0.97; xG against 1.87 (home) and 0.85 (away), yielding estimated expected goals of approximately 1.41 for Independiente Petrolero and 1.42 for Universitario de Vinto (total 2.83). The home side averages 19 shots and 7.5 on target per match with a 16% conversion rate, while the visitors average 8 shots and 3 on target. The league records a high average of 3.14 goals per game, which favors high-scoring games. In the last 5 matches both teams produced Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, and seasonally the home team has 100% of matches Over 1.5 and 50% Over 3.5, further boosting the probability of at least 2 goals. Considering the expected 2.83 goals, strong home shooting activity and the 80% share of recent Over 2.5 games in form, I estimate a 94% chance for Over 1.5, 72% for Over 2.5 and about 38% for Over 3.5; the strongest and least risky signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team has a clear lead at the break: they average 2.0 goals by half-time and led at the break in 50% of matches, while the away team averages 0.0 half-time goals and were level at the break in 100% of cases. Over the full match the home side creates significantly more opportunities: xG 1.97 versus 0.97, on average 19 shots and 7.5 shots on target compared to 8 and 3.0 for the away team. Season-long figures further favor the hosts — on average 3.0 goals scored per match, 1.5 points per match and a 50% win rate, whereas the visitors have 0.0 points and 0% wins. Given that the home team most often opens the scoring before the break (2.0 HT goals vs 0.0) and holds roughly a 1.0 xG advantage, the most likely scenario is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (HT/FT = 1/1). Alternatives are a draw at half-time with a subsequent home victory (X/1) or a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X), to which I have assigned moderate probabilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Petrolero | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente Petrolero is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Independiente Petrolero · 1 pts / game - Universitario de Vinto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universitario de Vinto is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Independiente Petrolero · 2 goals / game - Universitario de Vinto
Universitario de Vinto is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Independiente Petrolero · 1.67 goals / game - Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Universitario de Vinto keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Universitario de Vinto scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Independiente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Petrolero
Over / Under - Universitario de Vinto
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universitario de Vinto is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Independiente Petrolero · 1.67 pts / game - Universitario de Vinto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Petrolero - second-half results
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Universitario de Vinto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Petrolero | Liga | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Independiente Petrolero's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Universitario de Vinto. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The LFPB match finished Independiente Petrolero 2:1 Universitario de Vinto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Petrolero and Universitario de Vinto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Petrolero won 1, Universitario de Vinto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.33 goals per game on average and Universitario de Vinto 2.00. The LFPB average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Petrolero's matches and 67% of Universitario de Vinto's.
What form are Independiente Petrolero and Universitario de Vinto in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Petrolero have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Universitario de Vinto 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The statistical background for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.