Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX: match statistics
Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Indy Eleven played against Sporting JAX in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Indy Eleven has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sporting JAX has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Indy Eleven scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.29. Sporting JAX scores 0.63 and allows 2.25. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Indy Eleven's games and 38% of Sporting JAX's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Indy Eleven has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 0.92 per game. Indy Eleven takes 12.9 shots per game, while Sporting JAX takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Indy Eleven leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Sporting JAX leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Indy Eleven's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Sporting JAX, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win: Indy Eleven averages 2.0 goals per home game (10 home goals this season) versus Sporting JAX, who score only 0.6 goals away (5 goals this season and 0 goals in their last 5 matches). The hosts average 13.67 shots and 6.33 on target per home match, while the visitors register only 5 shots and 2.2 on target away, indicating a clear superiority in chance volume and quality. In xG terms Indy produces 1.66 xG per home game versus 0.73 xG for Sporting JAX on the road; additionally, the visitors concede 2.0 goals on average away, compared to Indy’s 1.0 conceded at home. Sporting JAX have no away wins (0 wins, 80% losses) and 60% of away matches without scoring, whereas Indy have 0% home matches without a goal and a positive home goal difference (+3). Considering the advantage in shots, xG and efficiency (15% conversion for the hosts vs 12% for the visitors) and the opponents’ poor away form, the highest probability is assigned to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Indy Eleven averages 0.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match this season, while Sporting JAX averages 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded; in the last 5 matches Indy had BTTS in 80% (4/5), whereas Sporting had 0% (0/5). Indy generates xG 1.24 and 12.0 shots (3.0 on target) with a conversion rate of 6%, while Sporting has xG 0.73, 5.0 shots (2.2 on target) and a 12% conversion — however their low shot volume limits their scoring chances. Over the last 5 matches Indy averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and Sporting scored 0.0 and conceded 1.6 on average, a strong signal of Sporting’s lack of offensive output. Additionally, 56% of league matches finish with a clean sheet for one side, and seasonal BTTS for Indy and Sporting are only 33% and 40%, so league and seasonal metrics also argue against BTTS. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes at 30% and No Goal at 70%, and I back No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of 2.78 goals in the match: Indy Eleven 1.58 and Sporting JAX 1.20. Calculation is based on xG: for Indy (xG_for 1.24 + xG_against_away 1.91)/2 ≈ 1.58, for Sporting (xG_for 0.73 + xG_against_home 1.66)/2 ≈ 1.20. The 2.78 total is slightly above the league average of 2.72 and aligns with seasonal over indicators — Indy records Over 2.5 goals in 67% of matches, Sporting in 40%. Indy averages 12 shots (3.0 on target) with a 6% conversion rate; Sporting only 5 shots (2.2 on target) with a 12% conversion rate, and Sporting has scored 0 goals in the last 5 matches (last 5: 'lllll'), which limits their realistic scoring chances. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (P≈77%), Over 2.5 is moderate (P≈53%) — I recommend betting on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/2 (home team leads at half-time but loses after full-time). Indy Eleven creates more chances: xG 1.24 vs 0.73 and 12 shots vs 5, with the home-side average goals at the break 0.67 versus Sporting JAX’s 0.0 (Indy led at the break in 33% of season matches, and 40% in the last 5). However, after the break the home team concedes an average of 2.0 goals, has 0 points from second halves and in 100% of their matches the second half had >0.5 goals, while the visitors score on average 0.6 goals after the break and have 5 points in second halves. Additionally, the visitors have a higher conversion rate (12% vs 6%), which increases the chance of a turnaround despite creating fewer chances. Therefore I assign 30% to 1/2 as the strongest signal, with smaller stakes for 1/1 (15%) and X/X (18%) as alternative scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Indy Eleven | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Indy Eleven is 127% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Indy Eleven · 0.63 goals / game - Sporting JAX
Indy Eleven is 74% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Indy Eleven · 2.25 goals / game - Sporting JAX
Indy Eleven scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Sporting JAX keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
Sporting JAX scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 meczów), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
Over / Under - Sporting JAX
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Indy Eleven is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Indy Eleven · 0.75 pts / game - Sporting JAX
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting JAX - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Indy Eleven
Sporting JAX
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Indy Eleven | Liga | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.71 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
The USL Championship match finished Indy Eleven 2:1 Sporting JAX. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
Indy Eleven score 1.43 goals per game on average and Sporting JAX 0.63. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Indy Eleven's matches and 38% of Sporting JAX's.
What form are Indy Eleven and Sporting JAX in?
Over the last 5 games Indy Eleven have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sporting JAX 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.