Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: match statistics
Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Indy Eleven played against Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Nordjyske Bank Arena. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Indy Eleven has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Tampa Bay Rowdies has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Indy Eleven scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.22. Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.70 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Indy Eleven's games and 41% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.60 per game. Indy Eleven takes 13.4 shots per game, while Tampa Bay Rowdies takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Indy Eleven leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Tampa Bay Rowdies leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Indy Eleven's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Tampa Bay Rowdies, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Indy Eleven have a slight home advantage: they have won 57% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.64 goals, while Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 50% of their away games and averaged 1.21 goals. The hosts also create more chances, with a home xG of 1.75 compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.48. However, Tampa have the stronger defensive record: away from home, they concede an average of 0.64 goals and keep a clean sheet in 57% of matches, while Indy concede 0.93 goals per game at home. The visitors sit 1st in the table and have picked up 7 points from their last five matches, while the hosts, in 18th place, have managed just 4. Indy’s home scoring gives them a marginal edge in the forecast, but Tampa’s defense and their 36% away draw rate mean a share of the points is also a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator that at least one team will fail to score is the clean-sheet record: Indy Eleven keep a clean sheet in 46% of matches, while Tampa Bay Rowdies do so in 57%. The teams’ historical scoring rates are 46% and 36%, respectively, both below the league average of 54%. In their last 5 matches, this scenario occurred just once for Indy and twice for Tampa, reinforcing the case for BTTS - No. The risk to this prediction is the hosts’ potent attack, averaging 2.23 goals with an xG of 1.96. However, the visitors concede just 0.64 goals on average, so I would not automatically back Indy to score. Tampa average 1.21 goals and fail to find the net in 21% of their matches, making it more likely that one side will finish the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 86% of Tampa Bay Rowdies matches, compared with just 54% of Indy Eleven matches. The visitors concede an average of just 0.64 goals per game and keep a clean sheet in 57% of matches, which could limit the hosts’ output despite their average of 2.23 goals scored. Indy have scored only 1.0 goal per game across their last 5 matches, while both teams have averaged 1.0 goals conceded over that period. I estimate 2.45 total goals, so the 3.5 line offers a greater margin than 2.5 given the teams’ markedly different scoring profiles.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Tampa Bay keep a clean sheet in the first half in 79% of matches and concede an average of just 0.21 goals before the break. Although Indy have led at the break in 54% of their matches, the visitors’ solid defense increases the likelihood that the hosts will have to wait for a goal this time. After half-time, Indy hold the advantage with an average of 1.38 goals scored compared with Tampa Bay’s 0.64, while across full matches the hosts record an xG of 1.96 against their opponents’ 1.48. The X/1 pick is tempered by recent form: across their last five matches, Indy have averaged just 0.2 goals after the break, while Tampa Bay have averaged 1.0, so this scenario has only a slight edge over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Indy Eleven | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Indy Eleven · 1.4 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Indy Eleven · 1.7 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Indy Eleven · 0.93 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Indy Eleven scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 games), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 52% (14 of 27 games).
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 games), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Indy Eleven · 1.74 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Indy Eleven | Liga | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 2.71 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Indy Eleven's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses against Tampa Bay Rowdies. Games average 2.80 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The USL Championship match finished Indy Eleven 1:3 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Indy Eleven won 0, Tampa Bay Rowdies won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Indy Eleven score 1.22 goals per game on average and Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.70. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Indy Eleven's matches and 41% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's.
What form are Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies in?
Over the last 5 games Indy Eleven have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.