Instituto vs Independiente: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched fixture. Instituto shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and a +1 goal difference, however, their last five overall matches display inconsistency (2-1-2). Independiente stands out with offensive reliability – they have not recorded a single away match without scoring a goal (FTS% 0%) and have better form over the last five games (1.6 PPG vs 1.4). A key factor is the high draw rate for the visitors away from home (50%) and similar xG stats for both teams (Instituto 1.33 vs Independiente 1.34). Taking into account the home advantage for the hosts as well as the solid defense and offense of the visitors, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although Instituto's slight edge in home conditions gives them marginally better chances for a victory.
Instituto vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Instituto played against Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Instituto has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Independiente has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Instituto scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. Independiente scores 1.67 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Instituto's games and 67% of Independiente's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 22%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.44 per game. Instituto takes 12.3 shots per game, while Independiente takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Instituto leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Independiente leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Instituto's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Independiente, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched fixture. Instituto shows solid home form with a 40% win rate and a +1 goal difference, however, their last five overall matches display inconsistency (2-1-2). Independiente stands out with offensive reliability – they have not recorded a single away match without scoring a goal (FTS% 0%) and have better form over the last five games (1.6 PPG vs 1.4). A key factor is the high draw rate for the visitors away from home (50%) and similar xG stats for both teams (Instituto 1.33 vs Independiente 1.34). Taking into account the home advantage for the hosts as well as the solid defense and offense of the visitors, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although Instituto's slight edge in home conditions gives them marginally better chances for a victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Instituto | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Instituto · 1.6 pts / game - Independiente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Instituto · 1.67 goals / game - Independiente
Independiente is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Instituto · 1.22 goals / game - Independiente
Instituto scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
Independiente scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Instituto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Instituto
Over / Under - Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Instituto is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / game - Instituto · 1.22 pts / game - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Instituto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Instituto
Independiente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Instituto | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.33 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Instituto's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Independiente. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Instituto vs Independiente?
The Primera División match finished Instituto 2:1 Independiente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Instituto and Independiente?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Instituto won 0, Independiente won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Instituto vs Independiente?
Instituto score 1.00 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.67. The Primera División average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Instituto's matches and 67% of Independiente's.
What form are Instituto and Independiente in?
Over the last 5 games Instituto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Independiente 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Instituto vs Independiente?
The statistical background for Instituto vs Independiente — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.