İnter Bakı has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Safa has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

İnter Bakı scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.00. Safa scores 0.29 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of İnter Bakı's games and 14% of Safa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 29%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

İnter Bakı has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 0.93 per game. İnter Bakı takes 9.1 shots per game, while Safa takes 6.1.

First-half and second-half trends

İnter Bakı leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Safa leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

İnter Bakı's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Safa, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.43Points per game0.43

İnter BakıSafa

1.29Goals scored / game0.29

İnter BakıSafa

1Goals allowed / game1.71

İnter BakıSafa

1.19xG for0.93

İnter BakıSafa

44%Average possession39%

İnter BakıSafa

3.43Shots on target / game3

İnter BakıSafa

29%Clean sheets14%

İnter BakıSafa

71%Both teams scored14%

İnter BakıSafa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.14Shots per game6.14

İnter BakıSafa

3.43Shots on target3

İnter BakıSafa

14.1%Shot conversion4.7%

İnter BakıSafa

44%Possession39%

İnter BakıSafa

1.19xG for0.93

İnter BakıSafa

1.53xG against1.99

İnter BakıSafa

Shooting quality

İnter Bakı: Counter-attackingSafa: Balanced

	İnter Bakı	Safa
Accuracy (shots on target)	38%	49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.13	0.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.38	0.10

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

İnter Bakı

DWDWD

Unbeaten in the last 5 games

Season result split

29% W57% D14% L

Season (W-D-L)

2-4-1

1.43 pts / game · goal difference +2

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-3-0

1.80 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

1-0-0

Last 5 at home

1-0-0

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Safa

LLLLL

No win in the last 5 games

Season result split

14% W0% D86% L

Season (W-D-L)

1-0-6

0.43 pts / game · goal difference -10

Last 5 (W-D-L)

0-0-5

0.00 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

1-0-3

Last 5 away

1-0-3

LWLL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 2.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

İnter Bakı is 345% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 0.29 goals / game - Safa

İnter Bakı is 71% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - İnter Bakı · 1.71 goals / game - Safa

İnter Bakı scoring profile: very strong

İnter Bakı scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Safa scoring profile: mixed

Safa scores in 29% of games (2 of 7 games), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

9Goals scored (season)2

İnter BakıSafa

7Goals conceded (season)12

İnter BakıSafa

2.29Average goals per game2

İnter BakıSafa

8Goals scored (last 5)1

İnter BakıSafa

4Goals conceded (last 5)10

İnter BakıSafa

İnter Bakı

29%

Clean sheets2 of 7 games

29%

No goal2 of 7 games

Safa

14%

Clean sheets1 of 7 games

71%

No goal5 of 7 games

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal29%

İnter BakıSafa

29%2 goals0%

İnter BakıSafa

14%3 goals0%

İnter BakıSafa

14%4 goals0%

İnter BakıSafa

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%

İnter BakıSafa

14%2 goals43%

İnter BakıSafa

14%3 goals29%

İnter BakıSafa

0%4 goals14%

İnter BakıSafa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

71%

İnter Bakı - BTTS5 of 7 games

14%

Safa - BTTS1 of 7 games

43%

League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%

İnter BakıSafa

0%BTTS in both halves0%

İnter BakıSafa

14%Scored in both halves0%

İnter BakıSafa

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%

İnter BakıSafa

0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%

İnter BakıSafa

80%BTTS - last 520%

İnter BakıSafa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

71%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

İnter BakıSafa

71%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)43%

İnter BakıSafa

43%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)29%

İnter BakıSafa

29%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)14%

İnter BakıSafa

14%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)14%

İnter BakıSafa

Over / Under - İnter Bakı

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 71%Under 29%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 71%Under 29%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 43%Under 57%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 29%Under 71%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Over / Under - Safa

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 43%Under 57%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 29%Under 71%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 14%Under 86%

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%

İnter BakıSafa

43%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%

İnter BakıSafa

14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%

İnter BakıSafa

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%

İnter BakıSafa

43%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%

İnter BakıSafa

14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%

İnter BakıSafa

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

İnter Bakı is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - İnter Bakı · 0.43 pts / game - Safa

İnter Bakı - half-time state

29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Safa - half-time state

0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)0.43

İnter BakıSafa

0.71Goals scored (1st half)0

İnter BakıSafa

0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71

İnter BakıSafa

1.14Average goals (1st half)0.71

İnter BakıSafa

57%Clean sheet before half-time43%

İnter BakıSafa

57%No goal before half-time100%

İnter BakıSafa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per game (2nd half)0.57

İnter BakıSafa

0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29

İnter BakıSafa

0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)1

İnter BakıSafa

1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.29

İnter BakıSafa

57%Clean sheet after half-time29%

İnter BakıSafa

57%No goal after half-time71%

İnter BakıSafa

İnter Bakı - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.43

PPG before half-time

Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Safa - second-half results

14% W14% D71% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-5

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-5

Goal difference (2nd half)

0.43

PPG before half-time

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

İnter Bakı - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.60	1.80
Goals scored / game	0.8	0.8
Goals allowed / game	0.4	0.4
Average goals per game	1.2	1.2
1 goal	60%	60%
2 goals	40%	40%
3 goals	20%	20%
Clean sheet	60%	60%
No goal	60%	40%
Goal difference	+2	+2

Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

Safa - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.40	0.20
Goals scored / game	0.0	0.2
Goals allowed / game	0.8	1.2
Average goals per game	0.8	1.4
1 goal	60%	80%
2 goals	20%	20%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	40%	20%
No goal	100%	80%
Goal difference	-4	-5

Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing

2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

İnter Bakı

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Safa

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.15

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.5 : 0.6

Estimated goal split

home : away

89%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

43%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

21%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

21%

0:0 risk

about 1 in 5 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

İnter Bakı

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.34

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.63

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-3.1 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.10

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.53

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

92%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

98%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.37

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.1

Late goals

11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.

11%

Safa

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-1.06

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.36

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+2.4 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.64

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.28

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

28%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

122%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.43

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.3

Late goals

0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

	İnter Bakı	Liga	Safa
Average goals per game	▼ 2.29	2.42	▼ 2.00
Both teams scored	▲ 71%	43%	▼ 14%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	• 43%	43%	▼ 29%
Clean sheets	▼ 29%	34%	▼ 14%
Goal before half-time	▼ 57%	63%	▼ 57%
Goal after half-time	▼ 57%	78%	▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42

Average goals per game

43%

Both teams scored

43%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

34%

Clean sheets

1.40

Home goals / game

1.02

Away goals / game

+37%

Home attack advantage

+27%

Home defensive advantage

+18%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

63%

1 goal

30%

2 goals

13%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

78%

1 goal

35%

2 goals

13%

3 goals

4 goals

FAQ

When do İnter Bakı and Safa play?

İnter Bakı face Safa on October 16, 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Safa?

İnter Bakı score 1.29 goals per game on average and Safa 0.29. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 71% of İnter Bakı's matches and 14% of Safa's.

What form are İnter Bakı and Safa in?

Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Safa 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Safa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.