Inter Miami vs Orlando City: match statistics
Inter Miami vs Orlando City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Miami play Orlando City in MLS (United States). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 01:15. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Inter Miami: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Orlando City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Miami scores 2.60 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Orlando City scores 1.53 and concedes 2.93. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Miami 73%, Orlando City 67%. Over 2.5: Inter Miami 73%, Orlando City 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.29. Inter Miami: 16.3 shots per match, Orlando City: 11.1.
Match halves
Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.40. Orlando City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Inter Miami: 76-90+ (12 goals). Orlando City: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Inter Miami is the clear favorite: at home they average 20.67 shots and 8.33 on target with 63% possession, while Orlando away manages only 7.6 shots and 2.8 on target with 45% possession. Quality of chances favors Inter — hosts have average xG 2.34 at home, whereas Orlando concedes on average 1.91 xG away and generates only 0.92 xG themselves. Goal metrics confirm the offensive edge and away defensive weakness: Inter scores 1.67 goals on average at home and has 0% scoreless matches, while Orlando averages just 0.6 goals away and fails to score in 60% of away games, conceding on average 4 per away match. Form also favors Miami — Inter have scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and are unbeaten in those five (ddwwd), whereas Orlando display poor away form (llldl) and have lost 80% of their away matches this season. Considering the higher volume of chances (20.67 vs 7.6), superior xG (2.34 vs 0.92) and Orlando’s clear issues on the road, I predict a home win, though a draw is possible given Inter’s 100% draw rate at home so far.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Miami | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.4 pts / match - Orlando City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - Inter Miami · 1.53 goals / match - Orlando City
Inter Miami is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami · 2.93 goals / match - Orlando City
Inter Miami scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
Orlando City scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Inter Miami
Over / Under — Orlando City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Inter Miami · 1.2 pts / match - Orlando City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Miami
Orlando City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Inter Miami | Liga | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.47 | 3.30 | ▲ 4.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Inter Miami 1 - 0 - 0 Orlando City. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Miami vs Orlando City?
The MLS match finished Inter Miami 3:4 Orlando City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Miami vs Orlando City?
Inter Miami score 2.60 goals per game on average and Orlando City 1.53. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Inter Miami's matches and 67% of Orlando City's.
What form are Inter Miami and Orlando City in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Miami have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Orlando City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Miami vs Orlando City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Miami vs Orlando City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.