Inter Milan vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inter Milan play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 23 November 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Inter Milan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inter Milan scores 2.34 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inter Milan 47%, AC Milan 47%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 55%, AC Milan 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Inter Milan has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.49. Inter Milan: 17.1 shots per match, AC Milan: 13.2.

Match halves

Inter Milan: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.37. AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.

Goals by minute

Inter Milan: 76-90+ (21 goals). AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Inter MilanAC Milan
20Shots7
Inter MilanAC Milan
6Shots on target3
Inter MilanAC Milan
2.27xG0.95
Inter MilanAC Milan
9Corners1
Inter MilanAC Milan
84Dangerous attacks41
Inter MilanAC Milan
7Fouls9
Inter MilanAC Milan
1Cards2
Inter MilanAC Milan

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inter MilanAC Milan
2.34Goals scored / match1.39
Inter MilanAC Milan
0.92Goals conceded / match0.92
Inter MilanAC Milan
60%Average possession52%
Inter MilanAC Milan
6.03Shots on target / match4.37
Inter MilanAC Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.11Shots per match13.24
Inter MilanAC Milan
6.03Shots on target4.37
Inter MilanAC Milan
13.7%Shot conversion10.5%
Inter MilanAC Milan
60%Possession52%
Inter MilanAC Milan
1.92xG for1.49
Inter MilanAC Milan
1.03xG against1.3
Inter MilanAC Milan

Shooting quality

Inter Milan: DominantAC Milan: Balanced
Inter MilanAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inter Milan is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / match - AC Milan

Inter Milan
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W16% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
27-6-5
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +54
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
AC Milan
DLLWL
Season result split
53% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-10-8
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

2.34 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.39 goals / match - AC Milan

Inter Milan scoring profile: very strong

Inter Milan scores in 95% of matches (36 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

AC Milan scoring profile: strong

AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).

89Goals scored (season)53
Inter MilanAC Milan
35Goals conceded (season)35
Inter MilanAC Milan
3.26Average goals in match2.32
Inter MilanAC Milan
11Goals scored (last 5)5
Inter MilanAC Milan
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Inter MilanAC Milan

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal82%
Inter MilanAC Milan
71%2 goals42%
Inter MilanAC Milan
37%3 goals16%
Inter MilanAC Milan
18%4 goals0%
Inter MilanAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal61%
Inter MilanAC Milan
26%2 goals26%
Inter MilanAC Milan
11%3 goals5%
Inter MilanAC Milan
3%4 goals0%
Inter MilanAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time21%
Inter MilanAC Milan
16%BTTS in both halves5%
Inter MilanAC Milan
55%Scored in both halves24%
Inter MilanAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
Inter MilanAC Milan
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Inter MilanAC Milan
60%BTTS - last 560%
Inter MilanAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Inter MilanAC Milan
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Inter MilanAC Milan
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Inter MilanAC Milan

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Inter MilanAC Milan
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Inter MilanAC Milan
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Inter MilanAC Milan

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter Milan is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.95 pts / match - Inter Milan · 1.34 pts / match - AC Milan

Inter Milan - half-time state
55% leading29% draw16% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
26% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.95Points per match (1st half)1.34
Inter MilanAC Milan
0.97Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Inter MilanAC Milan
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Inter MilanAC Milan
1.39Average goals (1st half)0.97
Inter MilanAC Milan
71%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Inter MilanAC Milan
26%No goal before half-time55%
Inter MilanAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

2.05Points per match (2nd half)1.71
Inter MilanAC Milan
1.37Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
Inter MilanAC Milan
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Inter MilanAC Milan
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.34
Inter MilanAC Milan
58%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Inter MilanAC Milan
24%No goal after half-time39%
Inter MilanAC Milan

Inter Milan - second-half results

61% W24% R16% P
74
Half-time points
37
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
78
Second-half points
+33
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AC Milan - second-half results

47% W29% R24% P
51
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inter Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
12
2
0-15
11
5
16-30
14
9
31-45
15
3
46-60
16
4
61-75
21
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
12
5
31-45
13
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
183%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Inter MilanLigaAC Milan
Average goals in match 3.262.43 2.32
Both teams scored 47%45% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%46% 45%
Clean sheets 47%32% 39%
Goal before half-time 79%66% 61%
Goal after half-time 87%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Inter Milan 0 - 0 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Inter Milan vs AC Milan?

The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 0:1 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs AC Milan?

Inter Milan score 2.34 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inter Milan's matches and 47% of AC Milan's.

What form are Inter Milan and AC Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and AC Milan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs AC Milan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Inter Milan vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.