Inter Milan vs Atalanta: match statistics
As table leaders, Inter Mediolan displays an impressive home form with a 79% win rate and a +26 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.71 goals per home match, with only 7% of games without scoring a goal. Atalanta is significantly weaker in away matches, with a mere 31% win rate and an average of 1.15 goals per match, providing a stark contrast to Inter's strength. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts - Inter has solid home results (4 wins in their last 5 home games), while Atalanta is going through a slump (only 1 win in their last 5 matches). The advantage in ball possession (60% vs 55%), higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 9%), and better overall form (PPG 1.4 vs 1.0) further support the prediction of an Inter win, although Atalanta's experience and their 38% away draw rate suggest the possibility of a tight result.
Inter Milan vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Milan played against Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Inter Milan has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Atalanta has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Milan scores 2.29 goals per game and allows 0.79. Atalanta scores 1.39 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Inter Milan's games and 54% of Atalanta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 39%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.68 per game. Inter Milan takes 18.3 shots per game, while Atalanta takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Milan leads at halftime in 54% of its games and scores 1.32 goals per game after halftime. Atalanta leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Atalanta, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As table leaders, Inter Mediolan displays an impressive home form with a 79% win rate and a +26 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.71 goals per home match, with only 7% of games without scoring a goal. Atalanta is significantly weaker in away matches, with a mere 31% win rate and an average of 1.15 goals per match, providing a stark contrast to Inter's strength. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts - Inter has solid home results (4 wins in their last 5 home games), while Atalanta is going through a slump (only 1 win in their last 5 matches). The advantage in ball possession (60% vs 55%), higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 9%), and better overall form (PPG 1.4 vs 1.0) further support the prediction of an Inter win, although Atalanta's experience and their 38% away draw rate suggest the possibility of a tight result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Inter Milan · 2 pts / game - Atalanta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
2.29 goals / game - Inter Milan · 1.39 goals / game - Atalanta
Inter Milan is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Inter Milan · 0.93 goals / game - Atalanta
Inter Milan scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 meczów), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
Atalanta scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 54% (15 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Atalanta
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / game - Inter Milan · 1.5 pts / game - Atalanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 79%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Milan
Atalanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.07 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter Milan's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atalanta. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Atalanta?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 1:1 Atalanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Atalanta?
Inter Milan score 2.29 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Inter Milan's matches and 54% of Atalanta's.
What form are Inter Milan and Atalanta in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Atalanta 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Atalanta?
The statistical background for Inter Milan vs Atalanta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.