Inter Milan vs Parma: match statistics
Inter Milan vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Inter Milan played against Parma in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Inter Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Parma has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Inter Milan scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 1.60. Parma scores 0.80 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Inter Milan's games and 60% of Parma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 40%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.42 to 0.92 per game. Inter Milan takes 23.2 shots per game, while Parma takes 8.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Inter Milan leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 2.20 goals per game after halftime. Parma leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Inter Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Parma, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter, second in the table, have won all 3 of their home matches so far, while 13th-placed Parma have lost both of their away games. The hosts average 4 goals per match at home and 8.33 shots on target, whereas Parma score just 0.5 goals away from home, averaging 3.5 shots on target. Inter’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 2.50, while Parma allow opponents chances worth 2.46 xG away from home and generate 0.93 xG themselves. Inter have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, but have also conceded 9, giving Parma some hope of finding the net. Even so, the gap in attacking efficiency and away form points strongly towards an Inter win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored and conceded in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a strong signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Inter have averaged 2.6 goals during this period, while Parma have conceded 1.4, making a home goal seem likely. Inter, meanwhile, have recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match, giving Parma a chance to score despite their modest average of 1.0 goals in their last 5 fixtures. However, caution is warranted: Parma average just 0.5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of those matches. The case for BTTS - Yes is driven primarily by both teams’ recent run of matches with goals at both ends, although Parma’s lower scoring output limits confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Inter scored an average of 2.6 goals, while Parma conceded 1.4, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. The chance-quality figures support this: Inter’s xG stood at 2.58 over this period, while Parma’s opponents created chances worth an average of 1.89 xG. Parma have recently averaged 1.0 goal scored, while Inter conceded 1.8, so an away goal also remains possible. The strongest signal, however, points to Over 1.5 goals: this line was hit in 67% of Inter’s home matches and 100% of Parma’s away matches. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, having landed in 33% and 50% of matches, respectively, across the same samples.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter were drawing at half-time in 50% of their recent matches and did not lead at the break in any of them, so an early lead and victory are not the safest expectation. In the current league sample, the hosts averaged 0.33 goals before half-time, while Parma scored none in that period, which points towards a level score at the interval. Inter’s advantage is more pronounced after the break: in recent matches, they averaged 2.25 goals in the second half compared with Parma’s 0.75. Inter have also won 60% of their last five matches, against Parma’s 20%, making a draw at half-time followed by a home win the most likely HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / game - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 275% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Inter Milan · 0.8 goals / game - Parma
Parma is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Inter Milan · 1.4 goals / game - Parma
Inter Milan scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).
Parma scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Inter Milan · 1 pts / game - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Inter Milan
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.60 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 55% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Inter Milan's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Parma. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Inter Milan vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished Inter Milan 3:0 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Parma?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Milan won 2, Parma won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Parma?
Inter Milan score 3.00 goals per game on average and Parma 0.80. The Serie A average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Inter Milan's matches and 60% of Parma's.
What form are Inter Milan and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Parma 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Parma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.