Parma vs Inter Milan: match statistics
Inter Milan, as the clear Serie A leader with 13 wins and just 4 losses, demonstrates dominant form, particularly on the road where they have won 75% of matches and recorded zero draws. Parma sits down in 15th place with a record of just 4 wins and a negative goal difference (-4) at their own stadium, where they lose 44% of matches and fail to score in 44% of home games. The gap in quality is immense - Inter averages 1.75 goals per away match with 59% possession and 4.5 shots on target, while Parma averages only 0.78 goals at home with 44% possession and a mere 2.67 shots on target. Given Inter's excellent run (lwwlwwww away) and Parma's poor home form (dwldldllw), the visitors are the clear favorites. Inter's high clinical edge (11% shot conversion) and the fact they have scored in every away match further support a victory for the Serie A leader.
Parma vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Parma played against Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 7, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Parma has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Inter Milan has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Parma scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.12. Inter Milan scores 2.24 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Parma's games and 47% of Inter Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 65%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.24 per game. Parma takes 11.7 shots per game, while Inter Milan takes 17.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Parma leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Inter Milan leads at halftime in 53% and scores 1.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Parma's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Inter Milan, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter Milan, as the clear Serie A leader with 13 wins and just 4 losses, demonstrates dominant form, particularly on the road where they have won 75% of matches and recorded zero draws. Parma sits down in 15th place with a record of just 4 wins and a negative goal difference (-4) at their own stadium, where they lose 44% of matches and fail to score in 44% of home games. The gap in quality is immense - Inter averages 1.75 goals per away match with 59% possession and 4.5 shots on target, while Parma averages only 0.78 goals at home with 44% possession and a mere 2.67 shots on target. Given Inter's excellent run (lwwlwwww away) and Parma's poor home form (dwldldllw), the visitors are the clear favorites. Inter's high clinical edge (11% shot conversion) and the fact they have scored in every away match further support a victory for the Serie A leader.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Parma | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Parma · 3 pts / game - Inter Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 215% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - Parma · 2.24 goals / game - Inter Milan
Inter Milan is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Parma · 0.88 goals / game - Inter Milan
Parma scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 meczów), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).
Inter Milan scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Parma
Over / Under - Inter Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Parma · 1.88 pts / game - Inter Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Parma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Parma
Inter Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Parma | Liga | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.82 | 2.33 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 43% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 65% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Parma vs Inter Milan?
The Serie A match finished Parma 0:2 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Parma vs Inter Milan?
Parma score 0.71 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.24. The Serie A average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Parma's matches and 47% of Inter Milan's.
What form are Parma and Inter Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Parma have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter Milan 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Parma vs Inter Milan?
The statistical background for Parma vs Inter Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.