Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT play Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.47 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 47%, Hamilton Academical 42%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 39%, Hamilton Academical 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.27. Inverness CT: 13.4 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 9.7.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Inverness CT has 20 wins, 11 draws and only 4 losses this season, and at home they win 71% of matches, topping the home table. The hosts have scored 58 goals this season and average 2.12 goals per home game while conceding 0.65 on average, whereas Hamilton have 52 goals this season, score 1.59 on the road and concede 1.47. Inverness generates average xG of 1.96 with 6.88 shots on target and 16.18 total shots per match, while Hamilton have xG 1.33, 4.88 shots on target and 10.35 total shots, so although the visitors have higher shot conversion (15% vs 13%) they create far fewer goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally, the hosts have not recorded a single home match without scoring (0% such games) and keep 47% clean sheets, while Hamilton fail to score in 35% of away matches and have 35% clean sheets; therefore I assess the probability of a home win at 65%, draw 20% and away win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.47 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Inverness CT is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.19 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Inverness CT
Over / Under — Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.56 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 0 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished Inverness CT 2:1 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Hamilton Academical?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Hamilton Academical won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?
Inverness CT score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.47. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inverness CT's matches and 42% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are Inverness CT and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical?
The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.