Scotland - League OneData current as of September 12, 2026

Inverness CT vs Montrose: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
3 : 1half-time 1:0
Montrose crest
Montrose
170%(1.23)
X20%(5.50)
210%(9.50)

Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.

Inverness CT vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Inverness CT played against Montrose in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Inverness CT has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Montrose has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Inverness CT scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 0.62. Montrose scores 1.26 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 35% of Inverness CT's games and 59% of Montrose's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 56%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.10 per game. Inverness CT takes 13.6 shots per game, while Montrose takes 8.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Inverness CT leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Montrose leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Inverness CT's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Montrose, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
Inverness CTMontrose
17Shots3
Inverness CTMontrose
11Shots on target2
Inverness CTMontrose
2.23xG0.56
Inverness CTMontrose
5Corners4
Inverness CTMontrose
55Dangerous attacks31
Inverness CTMontrose
16Fouls10
Inverness CTMontrose
2Cards2
Inverness CTMontrose

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Inverness CTMontrose
1.69Goals scored / game1.26
Inverness CTMontrose
0.62Goals allowed / game1.7
Inverness CTMontrose
55%Average possession49%
Inverness CTMontrose
5.73Shots on target / game3.52
Inverness CTMontrose

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.62Shots per game8.52
Inverness CTMontrose
5.73Shots on target3.52
Inverness CTMontrose
12.4%Shot conversion14.8%
Inverness CTMontrose
55%Possession49%
Inverness CTMontrose
1.7xG for1.1
Inverness CTMontrose
0.77xG against1.41
Inverness CTMontrose

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedMontrose: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTMontrose
Accuracy (shots on target)42%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.2 pts / game - Montrose

Inverness CT
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W23% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-4
2.08 pts / game · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 0.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Montrose
DLWDD
Season result split
30% W30% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-11
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

1.69 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.26 goals / game - Montrose

Inverness CT is 174% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.62 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.7 goals / game - Montrose

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 88% of games (23 of 26 meczów), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).

Montrose scoring profile: mixed

Montrose scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 62% (16 of 26 meczów).

44Goals scored (season)34
Inverness CTMontrose
16Goals conceded (season)46
Inverness CTMontrose
2.31Average goals per game2.96
Inverness CTMontrose
7Goals scored (last 5)8
Inverness CTMontrose
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
Inverness CTMontrose

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal74%
Inverness CTMontrose
46%2 goals33%
Inverness CTMontrose
23%3 goals19%
Inverness CTMontrose
12%4 goals0%
Inverness CTMontrose

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal85%
Inverness CTMontrose
19%2 goals48%
Inverness CTMontrose
4%3 goals26%
Inverness CTMontrose
0%4 goals11%
Inverness CTMontrose

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time22%
Inverness CTMontrose
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Inverness CTMontrose
35%Scored in both halves19%
Inverness CTMontrose

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Inverness CTMontrose
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Inverness CTMontrose
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Inverness CTMontrose

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Inverness CTMontrose
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Inverness CTMontrose
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Inverness CTMontrose

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Inverness CTMontrose
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Inverness CTMontrose
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Inverness CTMontrose

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.19 pts / game - Montrose

Inverness CT - half-time state
42% leading46% draw12% trailing
Montrose - half-time state
30% leading30% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per game (1st half)1.19
Inverness CTMontrose
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Inverness CTMontrose
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Inverness CTMontrose
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.41
Inverness CTMontrose
73%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Inverness CTMontrose
38%No goal before half-time56%
Inverness CTMontrose

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per game (2nd half)1.07
Inverness CTMontrose
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Inverness CTMontrose
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
Inverness CTMontrose
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Inverness CTMontrose
77%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Inverness CTMontrose
38%No goal after half-time52%
Inverness CTMontrose

Inverness CT - second-half results

54% W27% D19% L
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Montrose - second-half results

26% W30% D44% L
32
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Montrose - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
8
2
31-45
8
1
46-60
11
4
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
8
9
31-45
4
8
46-60
6
10
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaMontrose
Average goals per game 2.312.59 2.96
Both teams scored 35%46% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%50% 56%
Clean sheets 62%30% 15%
Goal before half-time 69%74% 81%
Goal after half-time 77%80% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalBilly McKay
  2. Inverness CTYellow cardBen Brannan
  3. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Calum MacleodOff: Ben Brannan
  4. MontroseGoalTaylor Sutherland
  5. MontroseYellow cardBlair Lyons
  6. MontroseYellow cardLewis Gibson
  7. MontroseSubstitutionOn: Graham WebsterOff: Lewis Gibson
  8. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Devine
  9. Inverness CTGoalAlfie BavidgeAssist: Calum Macleod
  10. MontroseSubstitutionOn: Kerr WaddellOff: Taylor Sutherland
  11. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Chanka ZimbaOff: Alfie Bavidge
  12. Inverness CTGoalJordan AlongeAssist: Liam Sole

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Sean MurdochMatches officiated: 9
3.56Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 278%Home wins11%Draws11%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Inverness CT's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Montrose. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Montrose FC
2 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Montrose?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 3:1 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Montrose?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Montrose won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Inverness CT score 1.69 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.26. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Inverness CT's matches and 59% of Montrose's.

What form are Inverness CT and Montrose in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Montrose 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Montrose?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.