Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Montrose played against Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The game was played on December 27, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Montrose has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Inverness CT has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Montrose scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.61. Inverness CT scores 1.82 and allows 0.59. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 39% of Montrose's games and 29% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 41%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.09 per game. Montrose takes 8.8 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Montrose leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.94 after halftime.

When the teams score

Montrose's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
MontroseInverness CT
5Shots1
MontroseInverness CT
2Shots on target1
MontroseInverness CT
0.73xG0.41
MontroseInverness CT
3Corners2
MontroseInverness CT
38Dangerous attacks37
MontroseInverness CT
2Fouls6
MontroseInverness CT
1Cards2
MontroseInverness CT

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MontroseInverness CT
1.06Goals scored / game1.82
MontroseInverness CT
1.61Goals allowed / game0.59
MontroseInverness CT
49%Average possession53%
MontroseInverness CT
3.22Shots on target / game6.47
MontroseInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.83Shots per game14.94
MontroseInverness CT
3.22Shots on target6.47
MontroseInverness CT
11.9%Shot conversion12.2%
MontroseInverness CT
49%Possession53%
MontroseInverness CT
1.09xG for1.84
MontroseInverness CT
1.41xG against0.83
MontroseInverness CT

Shooting quality

Montrose: BalancedInverness CT: Attacking
MontroseInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)36%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Montrose · 2 pts / game - Inverness CT

Montrose
DDWWL
Season result split
28% W22% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Inverness CT
WWDWL
Season result split
71% W12% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-3
2.24 pts / game · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.58BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 72% better for: goals scored per game.

1.06 goals / game - Montrose · 1.82 goals / game - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 173% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.61 goals / game - Montrose · 0.59 goals / game - Inverness CT

Montrose scoring profile: more difficult

Montrose scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).

19Goals scored (season)31
MontroseInverness CT
29Goals conceded (season)10
MontroseInverness CT
2.67Average goals per game2.41
MontroseInverness CT
8Goals scored (last 5)10
MontroseInverness CT
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
MontroseInverness CT

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal94%
MontroseInverness CT
28%2 goals47%
MontroseInverness CT
17%3 goals24%
MontroseInverness CT
0%4 goals18%
MontroseInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal35%
MontroseInverness CT
44%2 goals18%
MontroseInverness CT
28%3 goals6%
MontroseInverness CT
11%4 goals0%
MontroseInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time18%
MontroseInverness CT
6%BTTS in both halves0%
MontroseInverness CT
17%Scored in both halves41%
MontroseInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
MontroseInverness CT
28%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
MontroseInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 520%
MontroseInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MontroseInverness CT
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
MontroseInverness CT
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
MontroseInverness CT

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
MontroseInverness CT
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
MontroseInverness CT
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
MontroseInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / game - Montrose · 1.82 pts / game - Inverness CT

Montrose - half-time state
17% leading44% draw39% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading41% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per game (1st half)1.82
MontroseInverness CT
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.88
MontroseInverness CT
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
MontroseInverness CT
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.18
MontroseInverness CT
39%Clean sheet before half-time76%
MontroseInverness CT
61%No goal before half-time35%
MontroseInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per game (2nd half)2.06
MontroseInverness CT
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
MontroseInverness CT
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
MontroseInverness CT
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.24
MontroseInverness CT
44%Clean sheet after half-time76%
MontroseInverness CT
61%No goal after half-time29%
MontroseInverness CT

Montrose - second-half results

28% W33% D39% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - second-half results

65% W12% D24% L
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding151%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Montrose - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.40
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
7
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

MontroseLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 2.672.55 2.41
Both teams scored 39%42% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 41%
Clean sheets 22%32% 65%
Goal before half-time 72%72% 71%
Goal after half-time 78%81% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTGoalAlfie Stewart
  2. MontroseGoalBlair LyonsAssist: Callum Sandilands
  3. Inverness CTRed cardRoss Millen
  4. MontroseGoalSeán DillonAssist: Callum Sandilands
  5. MontroseYellow cardCameron Gill
  6. MontroseSubstitutionOn: Angus StevensonOff: Blair Lyons
  7. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Jordan AlongeOff: Mitchell Robertson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Montrose's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Inverness CT. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Montrose vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Montrose 2:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Inverness CT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Montrose score 1.06 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.82. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Montrose's matches and 29% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Montrose and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.