Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Montrose play Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Montrose: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Montrose scores 1.31 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Montrose 61%, Inverness CT 47%. Over 2.5: Montrose 56%, Inverness CT 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.11. Montrose: 8.6 shots per match, Inverness CT: 13.4.

Match halves

Montrose: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Montrose: 61-75 (11 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
MontroseInverness CT
5Shots1
MontroseInverness CT
2Shots on target1
MontroseInverness CT
0.73xG0.41
MontroseInverness CT
3Corners2
MontroseInverness CT
38Dangerous attacks37
MontroseInverness CT
2Fouls6
MontroseInverness CT
1Cards2
MontroseInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MontroseInverness CT
1.31Goals scored / match1.67
MontroseInverness CT
1.83Goals conceded / match0.67
MontroseInverness CT
48%Average possession56%
MontroseInverness CT
3.56Shots on target / match5.81
MontroseInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.64Shots per match13.39
MontroseInverness CT
3.56Shots on target5.81
MontroseInverness CT
15.1%Shot conversion12.4%
MontroseInverness CT
48%Possession56%
MontroseInverness CT
1.11xG for1.69
MontroseInverness CT
1.45xG against0.81
MontroseInverness CT

Shooting quality

Montrose: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Balanced
MontroseInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)41%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 1000% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Montrose · 2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT

Montrose
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-8
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inverness CT
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W31% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-3
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.31 goals / match - Montrose · 1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Montrose · 0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Montrose scoring profile: strong

Montrose scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

47Goals scored (season)60
MontroseInverness CT
66Goals conceded (season)24
MontroseInverness CT
3.14Average goals in match2.33
MontroseInverness CT
5Goals scored (last 5)7
MontroseInverness CT
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
MontroseInverness CT

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal92%
MontroseInverness CT
33%2 goals44%
MontroseInverness CT
17%3 goals22%
MontroseInverness CT
3%4 goals8%
MontroseInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal50%
MontroseInverness CT
56%2 goals14%
MontroseInverness CT
31%3 goals3%
MontroseInverness CT
11%4 goals0%
MontroseInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time14%
MontroseInverness CT
8%BTTS in both halves3%
MontroseInverness CT
19%Scored in both halves33%
MontroseInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
MontroseInverness CT
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MontroseInverness CT
60%BTTS - last 560%
MontroseInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
MontroseInverness CT
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
MontroseInverness CT
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
MontroseInverness CT

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MontroseInverness CT
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
MontroseInverness CT
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MontroseInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Montrose · 1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT

Montrose - half-time state
28% leading31% draw42% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.81
MontroseInverness CT
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.78
MontroseInverness CT
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
MontroseInverness CT
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.06
MontroseInverness CT
42%Clean sheet before half-time75%
MontroseInverness CT
58%No goal before half-time39%
MontroseInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.83
MontroseInverness CT
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
MontroseInverness CT
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
MontroseInverness CT
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.28
MontroseInverness CT
28%Clean sheet after half-time67%
MontroseInverness CT
47%No goal after half-time36%
MontroseInverness CT

Montrose - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
41
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - second-half results

53% W25% R22% P
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Montrose - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
5
10
16-30
10
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
11
14
61-75
8
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

MontroseLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 3.142.62 2.33
Both teams scored 61%50% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%49% 39%
Clean sheets 14%28% 50%
Goal before half-time 81%73% 72%
Goal after half-time 89%83% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Montrose 0 - 0 - 3 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
3 : 1
Montrose FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Montrose vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Montrose 2:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Inverness CT?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Montrose won 0, Inverness CT won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Montrose score 1.31 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.67. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Montrose's matches and 47% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Montrose and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Inverness CT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montrose vs Inverness CT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.