Scotland - ChampionshipTulloch Caledonian StadiumData current as of October 18, 2026

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
0 : 2half-time 0:1
Raith Rovers crest
Raith Rovers

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Inverness CT played against Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Inverness CT has 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.75 points per game. Raith Rovers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.

Scoring records

Inverness CT scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Raith Rovers scores 1.25 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Inverness CT's games and 50% of Raith Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 25%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 14% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Raith Rovers has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.27 per game. Inverness CT takes 8.3 shots per game, while Raith Rovers takes 11.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Inverness CT leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Raith Rovers leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Inverness CT's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Raith Rovers, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 14% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Raith Rovers sit 3rd, while Inverness CT are eighth, with the visitors picking up 7 points from 4 matches compared to the hosts’ 3 points. Inverness have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, recording 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, while conceding as many as 10 goals during that period. Raith have shown a clearly more solid defensive record over the course of the season, conceding 3 goals in 4 matches, compared to Inverness’s 4. At home, the hosts have drawn both matches and score just 0.5 goals per game, despite an average xG of 1.50, indicating poor finishing. Raith win 50% of their away matches and convert 15% of their shots, compared to just 4% for Inverness, making an away win slightly more likely.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - No pick has a slight edge, as Inverness kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches, while its seasonal average of goals conceded stands at just 0.5. Raith averages 1.0 goal per game, but has failed to keep a clean sheet away from home and has failed to score in 50% of its matches, increasing the risk that the visitors will not find the net. The hosts also have a clear advantage in chance creation: their xG is 2.02 compared with Raith’s 1.03, while the average number of shots on target is 7.0 to 3.5. However, Inverness conceded 2.0 goals per game across its last five matches, so a Goal/Goal scenario remains realistic. Nevertheless, the low league BTTS rate of 35% and the hosts’ defensive profile point slightly more strongly towards an outcome in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Inverness creates a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.02 xG and 7.0 shots on target per match, while Raith allows an average of just 1.30 xG. The visitors have a more modest attacking output, averaging 1.03 xG and 6.5 shots per game, while the hosts concede just 0.5 goals and 0.58 xG at home. In their last five matches, only 40% of Inverness games and 20% of Raith games went Over 2.5 goals, while both teams recorded 100% of matches below 3.5 goals in the available season data. Additionally, the Scottish league averages just 1.75 goals per match, with games featuring at least three goals accounting for only 15%. The strongest pick is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.20 goals leaves a clear margin below this line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Recent form clearly favors Raith Rovers: the visitors have averaged 1.4 points over their last five matches, while Inverness have managed just 0.6 and have failed to win any of those games. Before the break, the hosts never took the lead, were trailing in 60% of matches, and averaged no goals in the first half, whereas Raith led in 40% of their games and averaged 0.8 goals. Inverness have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match across their last five outings, with a half-time goal difference of -3, increasing the visitors’ chances of building a lead in the opening half. Although Inverness’s earlier home statistics are stronger, with an xG of 2.02 and only 0.58 xG conceded, current form and Raith’s more solid defense, which has conceded just 0.8 goals per match recently, provide the strongest support for the HT/FT 2/2 outcome: Raith to lead at the break and win at full time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1Shots4
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1Shots on target4
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.41xG0.8
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
2Corners4
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
36Dangerous attacks35
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
11Fouls17
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1Cards1
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.5Goals scored / game1.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1Goals allowed / game0.75
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
59%Average possession46%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
4.75Shots on target / game5.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.25Shots per game11.75
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
4.75Shots on target5.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
6.1%Shot conversion10.6%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
59%Possession46%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1.27xG for1.52
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.93xG against0.94
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedRaith Rovers: Balanced
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)58%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.110.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Raith Rovers is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.75 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.75 pts / game - Raith Rovers

Inverness CT
DDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W75% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-1
0.75 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-1
0.75 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%
Raith Rovers
DWWL
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Raith Rovers is 150% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.25 goals / game - Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Inverness CT · 0.75 goals / game - Raith Rovers

Inverness CT scoring profile: strong

Inverness CT scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).

Raith Rovers scoring profile: strong

Raith Rovers scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).

2Goals scored (season)5
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
4Goals conceded (season)3
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1.5Average goals per game2
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal75%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%2 goals50%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%3 goals0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
25%2 goals0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
25%3 goals0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%Scored in both halves25%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
50%BTTS - last 550%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raith Rovers is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / game - Inverness CT · 2 pts / game - Raith Rovers

Inverness CT - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Raith Rovers - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per game (1st half)2
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0Goals scored (1st half)1
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
100%No goal before half-time25%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
1Average goals (2nd half)0.75
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
50%No goal after half-time75%
Inverness CTRaith Rovers

Inverness CT - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Raith Rovers - second-half results

0% W75% D25% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.501.25
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.5
Average goals per game0.51.0
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Raith Rovers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.75
Goals scored / game1.00.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.5
Average goals per game1.30.8
1 goal75%50%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal25%75%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 75% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Raith Rovers
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Raith Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
202%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaRaith Rovers
Average goals per game▼ 1.501.71▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%33%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 25%14%▲ 25%
Clean sheets▲ 50%40%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%57%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.71
Average goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
14%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.10
Home goals / game
0.62
Away goals / game
+77%
Home attack advantage
+44%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Raith RoversGoalJohn Robertson
  2. Raith RoversYellow cardZak Delaney
  3. Raith RoversSubstitutionOn: George OakleyOff: Anton Dowds
  4. Raith RoversGoalJai RoweAssist: Charles Telfer
  5. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Mackay

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

The Championship match finished Inverness CT 0:2 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

Inverness CT score 0.50 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.25. The Championship average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 14% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Inverness CT's matches and 50% of Raith Rovers's.

What form are Inverness CT and Raith Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 0-3-1 record (0.75 points per game) and Raith Rovers 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.