Scotland - League OneData current as of September 06, 2026

Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Stenhousemuir crest
Stenhousemuir
165%(1.50)
X20%(3.90)
215%(5.40)

Inverness CT are displaying dominant home form with an impressive 82% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals per match. The hosts are the league leaders with a home goal difference of +20 and have conceded just 0.55 goals on average per home game. Stenhousemuir, despite being second in the table, show significantly weaker efficiency on the road – they fail to score in 45% of their away matches, and their average xG (1.12) is half that of the hosts (2.11). The visitors' recent form is a cause for concern – only 1 point per game in their last five matches along with two defeats. Considering Inverness's advantage in ball possession (56% vs 51%), offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity at home, a victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario for this fixture.

Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Inverness CT played against Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Inverness CT has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Stenhousemuir has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Inverness CT scores 1.79 goals per game and allows 0.63. Stenhousemuir scores 1.38 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Inverness CT's games and 42% of Stenhousemuir's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 42%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.17 per game. Inverness CT takes 13.8 shots per game, while Stenhousemuir takes 8.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Inverness CT leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

Inverness CT's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Stenhousemuir, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Inverness CT are displaying dominant home form with an impressive 82% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals per match. The hosts are the league leaders with a home goal difference of +20 and have conceded just 0.55 goals on average per home game. Stenhousemuir, despite being second in the table, show significantly weaker efficiency on the road – they fail to score in 45% of their away matches, and their average xG (1.12) is half that of the hosts (2.11). The visitors' recent form is a cause for concern – only 1 point per game in their last five matches along with two defeats. Considering Inverness's advantage in ball possession (56% vs 51%), offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity at home, a victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario for this fixture.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
9Shots7
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
2Shots on target2
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1.1xG0.77
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
4Corners3
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
54Dangerous attacks27
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
16Fouls10
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
6Cards3
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1.79Goals scored / game1.38
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0.63Goals allowed / game0.83
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
55%Average possession50%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
5.96Shots on target / game4.38
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.83Shots per game8.38
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
5.96Shots on target4.38
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
13%Shot conversion16.4%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
55%Possession50%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1.73xG for1.17
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0.78xG against1.15
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: Efficient finishingStenhousemuir: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
Accuracy (shots on target)43%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Inverness CT · 2.2 pts / game - Stenhousemuir

Inverness CT
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W17% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-4-4
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 0.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Stenhousemuir
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W38% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-4
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1.79 goals / game - Inverness CT · 1.38 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Inverness CT is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.63 goals / game - Inverness CT · 0.83 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of games (22 of 24 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: mixed

Stenhousemuir scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 63% (15 of 24 meczów).

43Goals scored (season)33
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
15Goals conceded (season)20
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
2.42Average goals per game2.21
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
11Goals scored (last 5)12
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal71%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
50%2 goals42%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
25%3 goals17%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
13%4 goals8%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal54%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
21%2 goals25%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
4%3 goals4%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0%4 goals0%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time13%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
38%Scored in both halves29%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
40%BTTS - last 540%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.79 pts / game - Inverness CT · 1.46 pts / game - Stenhousemuir

Inverness CT - half-time state
46% leading42% draw13% trailing
Stenhousemuir - half-time state
33% leading46% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.79Points per game (1st half)1.46
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1.08Average goals (1st half)0.96
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
75%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
38%No goal before half-time54%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

After half-time (2nd half)

1.96Points per game (2nd half)1.63
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
75%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
33%No goal after half-time46%
Inverness CTStenhousemuir

Inverness CT - second-half results

58% W21% R21% P
43
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

42% W38% R21% P
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
8
2
31-45
8
1
46-60
11
4
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaStenhousemuir
Average goals per game 2.422.64 2.21
Both teams scored 33%46% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%53% 42%
Clean sheets 63%30% 46%
Goal before half-time 71%74% 67%
Goal after half-time 83%80% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StenhousemuirGoalOlly Whyte
  2. Inverness CTGoalAlfie BavidgeAssist: Ben Brannan
  3. StenhousemuirYellow cardOlly Whyte
  4. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Ross TaylorOff: Zeke Cameron
  5. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Billy McKayOff: Chanka Zimba
  6. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Taylor
  7. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Meechan
  8. Inverness CTYellow cardBen Brannan
  9. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Findlay GrayOff: Leyton Grant
  10. Inverness CTYellow cardBen Brannan
  11. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Oscar MacIntyreOff: Liam Sole
  12. Inverness CTYellow cardBilly McKay
  13. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Devine
  14. Inverness CTYellow cardOscar MacIntyre
  15. Inverness CTYellow cardRemmi Savage

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Inverness CT's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Stenhousemuir. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Stenhousemuir FC
1 : 0
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 2
Stenhousemuir FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 0, Stenhousemuir won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT score 1.79 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.38. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Inverness CT's matches and 42% of Stenhousemuir's.

What form are Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.