Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeaguePavlodar Central StadiumData current as of August 13, 2026

Irtysh vs Tobol: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Irtysh vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Irtysh plays Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: Pavlodar Central Stadium.

Recent form

Irtysh has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tobol has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Irtysh scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.40. Tobol scores 1.05 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Irtysh's games and 55% of Tobol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 45%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tobol has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.41 per game. Irtysh takes 11.8 shots per game, while Tobol takes 13.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Irtysh leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Tobol leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Irtysh's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Tobol, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.20)
(2.39)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.05
IrtyshTobol
1.4Goals allowed / game1.4
IrtyshTobol
51%Average possession54%
IrtyshTobol
4.6Shots on target / game4
IrtyshTobol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.75Shots per game13.05
IrtyshTobol
4.6Shots on target4
IrtyshTobol
8.5%Shot conversion8%
IrtyshTobol
51%Possession54%
IrtyshTobol
1.41xG for1.53
IrtyshTobol
1.52xG against1.62
IrtyshTobol

Shooting quality

Irtysh: BalancedTobol: Balanced
IrtyshTobol
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Irtysh
DLWWL
Season result split
15% W40% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-8-9
0.85 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Tobol
LWDWL
Season result split
30% W20% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-10
1.10 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 2.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Irtysh · 1.05 goals / game - Tobol

Irtysh scoring profile: very strong

Irtysh scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).

Tobol scoring profile: very strong

Tobol scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)21
IrtyshTobol
28Goals conceded (season)28
IrtyshTobol
2.4Average goals per game2.45
IrtyshTobol
6Goals scored (last 5)5
IrtyshTobol
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
IrtyshTobol

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal70%
IrtyshTobol
30%2 goals25%
IrtyshTobol
5%3 goals10%
IrtyshTobol
0%4 goals0%
IrtyshTobol

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal85%
IrtyshTobol
50%2 goals40%
IrtyshTobol
5%3 goals10%
IrtyshTobol
0%4 goals5%
IrtyshTobol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
IrtyshTobol
5%BTTS in both halves0%
IrtyshTobol
10%Scored in both halves10%
IrtyshTobol

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
IrtyshTobol
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
IrtyshTobol
60%BTTS - last 540%
IrtyshTobol

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
IrtyshTobol
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
IrtyshTobol
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
IrtyshTobol

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
IrtyshTobol
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
IrtyshTobol
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
IrtyshTobol

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tobol is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Irtysh · 1.3 pts / game - Tobol

Irtysh - half-time state
15% leading55% draw30% trailing
Tobol - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.3
IrtyshTobol
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.55
IrtyshTobol
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
IrtyshTobol
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.05
IrtyshTobol
50%Clean sheet before half-time55%
IrtyshTobol
70%No goal before half-time50%
IrtyshTobol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per game (2nd half)0.9
IrtyshTobol
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
IrtyshTobol
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
IrtyshTobol
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.4
IrtyshTobol
40%Clean sheet after half-time40%
IrtyshTobol
55%No goal after half-time70%
IrtyshTobol

Irtysh - second-half results

15% W50% R35% P
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tobol - second-half results

20% W30% R50% P
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Irtysh - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tobol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Irtysh
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Irtysh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

IrtyshLigaTobol
Average goals per game 2.402.40 2.45
Both teams scored 60%55% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%45% 45%
Clean sheets 15%27% 15%
Goal before half-time 60%65% 65%
Goal after half-time 65%71% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Irtysh's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tobol. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Irtysh and Tobol play?

Irtysh face Tobol on August 16, 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Pavlodar Central Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Irtysh vs Tobol?

Irtysh score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.05. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Irtysh's matches and 55% of Tobol's.

What form are Irtysh and Tobol in?

Over the last 5 games Irtysh have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tobol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irtysh vs Tobol?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Irtysh vs Tobol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.