Ismaily SC vs Masar: match statistics

Masar are showing significantly better current form: they have collected 7 points in their last five matches through 2 wins and a draw, while Ismaily SC have managed just 2 points and have not won a single game. The visitors scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 per match, compared with just 2 goals for Ismaily SC, who averaged 0.4 goals per game. The defensive record is equally significant: Masar conceded 5 goals in five matches, while the hosts conceded 7, further highlighting the difference in form. Ismaily SC do occupy a higher position in the table—9th compared with Masar’s 13th—but their current trend of three defeats in the last five appearances favors the visitors. The hosts’ low scoring efficiency also increases the likelihood of a closely contested match, but Masar’s greater attacking potential makes an away win the most probable outcome.

The strongest signal is Ismaily SC’s poor finishing: the team has scored just 2 goals in its last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game. BTTS landed in only 40% of the hosts’ matches during this period and in just 20% of Masar’s games, clearly supporting the outcome in which at least one side fails to score. Masar has scored more frequently, recording 7 goals in five appearances, while its defense conceded an average of just 1.0 goals, with an xG against of 0.95. Although Ismaily SC allows opponents chances worth 1.54 xG and has conceded 7 goals, its own xG of 1.08 has not translated into goals, reducing the hosts’ chances of finding the net. The BTTS - No scenario is therefore more likely, primarily due to the risk of another Ismaily SC match without scoring.

Seasonal data for both teams is unavailable, so the forecast is based on their last five matches. Ismaily scored just 2 goals during this period, averaging 0.4 per game, while Masar conceded 5 goals, an average of 1.0, which limits expectations for the hosts. Masar averaged 1.4 goals scored per match, while Ismaily conceded 1.4, but the visitors’ xG stood at just 1.06, making it difficult to expect a very high-scoring game. In their last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of Ismaily’s games and 40% of Masar’s, but the projected total of 2.09 goals clearly supports an outcome below 3.5. The strongest pick is Under 3.5, as it only loses if there are at least 4 goals, and the current numbers for both teams do not point to such a scenario.

Masar have shown significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals and 1.4 points per game, while Ismaily scored just 0.4 goals and collected 0.4 points per match. The hosts never held a lead at the break and went into half-time trailing in 60% of those matches; Masar led at half-time in 40% of their games and were never behind at that stage. Ismaily failed to score before the break in each of their last five appearances, whereas the visitors averaged 0.6 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 during this phase. After the break, Masar continued to average 0.8 goals, while Ismaily managed only 0.4, which is why the most likely scenario remains an HT/FT outcome of X/2, with the visitors leading at half-time and securing a win at full-time.