Istra 1961 vs Varaždin: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Istra 1961 is in catastrophic form with four defeats in their last five matches, yet at home they maintain balance with 33% wins, draws, and losses. Varaždin also lacks shine in their away form (46% losses on the road), and their recent fixtures are a series of unstable results. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-3 for the hosts in home matches, -4 for the guests in away games) as well as similar xG values, confirming their balanced quality. The average of 2.25 goals per match for the hosts and 2.46 for the visitors suggests a high-scoring encounter; however, the poor finishing of both sides (9-10% shot conversion) and their defensive issues indicate the points are likely to be shared.
Istra 1961 vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Istra 1961 played against Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Istra 1961 has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Varaždin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Istra 1961 scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.38. Varaždin scores 1.27 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Istra 1961's games and 62% of Varaždin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Varaždin has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.27 per game. Istra 1961 takes 10.0 shots per game, while Varaždin takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Istra 1961 leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Varaždin leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Istra 1961's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Varaždin, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Istra 1961 is in catastrophic form with four defeats in their last five matches, yet at home they maintain balance with 33% wins, draws, and losses. Varaždin also lacks shine in their away form (46% losses on the road), and their recent fixtures are a series of unstable results. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-3 for the hosts in home matches, -4 for the guests in away games) as well as similar xG values, confirming their balanced quality. The average of 2.25 goals per match for the hosts and 2.46 for the visitors suggests a high-scoring encounter; however, the poor finishing of both sides (9-10% shot conversion) and their defensive issues indicate the points are likely to be shared.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varaždin is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Istra 1961 · 1 pts / game - Varaždin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Istra 1961 · 1.27 goals / game - Varaždin
Istra 1961 scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
Varaždin scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Istra 1961
Over / Under - Varaždin
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varaždin is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - Istra 1961 · 1.27 pts / game - Varaždin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Istra 1961
Varaždin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Varaždin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.58 | 2.68 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Istra 1961's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Varaždin. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 2:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Varaždin?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 2, Varaždin won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
Istra 1961 score 1.19 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.27. The Prva HNL average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Istra 1961's matches and 62% of Varaždin's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Varaždin in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Varaždin 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Varaždin?
The statistical background for Istra 1961 vs Varaždin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.