Varaždin vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Varaždin played against Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on December 19, 2025. Final score: 1:3.

Recent form

Varaždin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Istra 1961 has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Varaždin scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.29. Istra 1961 scores 1.25 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Varaždin's games and 63% of Istra 1961's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 56%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Varaždin has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.31 per game. Varaždin takes 11.8 shots per game, while Istra 1961 takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Varaždin leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Istra 1961 leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.69 after halftime.

When the teams score

Varaždin's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Istra 1961, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
VaraždinIstra 1961
21Shots14
VaraždinIstra 1961
9Shots on target4
VaraždinIstra 1961
2.47xG1.58
VaraždinIstra 1961
9Corners5
VaraždinIstra 1961
71Dangerous attacks57
VaraždinIstra 1961
16Fouls8
VaraždinIstra 1961
3Cards3
VaraždinIstra 1961

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

VaraždinIstra 1961
1.24Goals scored / game1.25
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.29Goals allowed / game1.25
VaraždinIstra 1961
45%Average possession49%
VaraždinIstra 1961
3.47Shots on target / game3.63
VaraždinIstra 1961

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.76Shots per game10.13
VaraždinIstra 1961
3.47Shots on target3.63
VaraždinIstra 1961
10.5%Shot conversion12.3%
VaraždinIstra 1961
45%Possession49%
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.36xG for1.31
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.62xG against1.85
VaraždinIstra 1961

Shooting quality

Varaždin: BalancedIstra 1961: Balanced
VaraždinIstra 1961
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Istra 1961 is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Varaždin · 1.6 pts / game - Istra 1961

Varaždin
WLDWL
Season result split
35% W29% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-6
1.35 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Istra 1961
DWLDW
Season result split
38% W31% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-5
1.44 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varaždin scoring profile: very strong

Varaždin scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

Istra 1961 scoring profile: very strong

Istra 1961 scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).

21Goals scored (season)20
VaraždinIstra 1961
22Goals conceded (season)20
VaraždinIstra 1961
2.53Average goals per game2.5
VaraždinIstra 1961
7Goals scored (last 5)9
VaraždinIstra 1961
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
VaraždinIstra 1961

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal75%
VaraždinIstra 1961
35%2 goals31%
VaraždinIstra 1961
12%3 goals6%
VaraždinIstra 1961
6%4 goals6%
VaraždinIstra 1961

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal81%
VaraždinIstra 1961
35%2 goals31%
VaraždinIstra 1961
18%3 goals13%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%4 goals0%
VaraždinIstra 1961

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time25%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VaraždinIstra 1961
12%Scored in both halves13%
VaraždinIstra 1961

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
VaraždinIstra 1961
60%BTTS - last 580%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
VaraždinIstra 1961
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
VaraždinIstra 1961
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
VaraždinIstra 1961

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
VaraždinIstra 1961
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
VaraždinIstra 1961
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varaždin is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Varaždin · 0.81 pts / game - Istra 1961

Varaždin - half-time state
29% leading41% draw29% trailing
Istra 1961 - half-time state
13% leading44% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)0.81
VaraždinIstra 1961
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.56
VaraždinIstra 1961
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.31
VaraždinIstra 1961
53%Clean sheet before half-time31%
VaraždinIstra 1961
53%No goal before half-time63%
VaraždinIstra 1961

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per game (2nd half)1.63
VaraždinIstra 1961
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
VaraždinIstra 1961
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.19
VaraždinIstra 1961
47%Clean sheet after half-time56%
VaraždinIstra 1961
65%No goal after half-time50%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Varaždin - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Istra 1961 - second-half results

44% W31% R25% P
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Varaždin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Istra 1961 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

VaraždinLigaIstra 1961
Average goals per game 2.532.75 2.50
Both teams scored 59%63% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%52% 56%
Clean sheets 24%21% 19%
Goal before half-time 71%79% 81%
Goal after half-time 71%83% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Istra 1961Yellow cardMarcel Heister
  2. Istra 1961GoalSmail Prevljak
  3. VaraždinGoalIvan MamutAssist: Tomislav Duvnjak
  4. VaraždinYellow cardRoberto Punčec
  5. Istra 1961GoalVinko RozićAssist: Emil Frederiksen
  6. Istra 1961SubstitutionOn: Antonio MauricOff: Israel Isaac Ayuma
  7. Istra 1961SubstitutionOn: Mohamed NasraouiOff: Ville Koski
  8. Istra 1961Yellow cardMohamed Nasraoui
  9. VaraždinYellow cardLamine Ba
  10. Istra 1961Yellow cardVinko Rozić
  11. Istra 1961GoalSmail PrevljakAssist: Emil Frederiksen
  12. Istra 1961SubstitutionOn: Filip TarabaOff: Vinko Rozić
  13. VaraždinYellow cardIvan Mamut

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Igor PajačMatches officiated: 11
4.91Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins18%Draws55%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Varaždin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Istra 1961. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

NK Istra 1961
1 : 0
NK Varaždin

FAQ

What was the result of Varaždin vs Istra 1961?

The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 1:3 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Istra 1961?

Varaždin score 1.24 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Varaždin's matches and 63% of Istra 1961's.

What form are Varaždin and Istra 1961 in?

Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Istra 1961 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Istra 1961?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.