Jaro vs Ilves: match statistics
Jaro vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jaro play Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Jakobstads Centralplan. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Jaro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jaro scores 0.94 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jaro 50%, Ilves 69%. Over 2.5: Jaro 56%, Ilves 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ilves has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.42. Jaro: 11.7 shots per match, Ilves: 11.8.
Match halves
Jaro: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25. Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Jaro: 16-30 (4 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Jaro win only 17% of home matches and record as many as 50% draws, while Ilves have no away wins (0% victories) and draw 43% of games, which increases the probability of a shared points outcome. Ilves scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches versus 6 for Jaro, but concede on average 2.71 goals away compared to 1.67 conceded by Jaro at home, so both teams have defensive vulnerabilities. xG points to an even contest: Jaro generate 1.46 xG at home, Ilves have 1.22 xG away, and the hosts average 5 shots on target versus 4 for Ilves, so I expect a tight, goal-filled draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jaro | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ilves is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Jaro · 1.4 pts / match - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Jaro · 1.75 goals / match - Ilves
Ilves is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Jaro · 1.88 goals / match - Ilves
Jaro scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Ilves scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jaro
Over / Under — Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jaro
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Jaro | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Jaro 0 - 0 - 3 Ilves. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaro vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Jaro 2:1 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jaro and Ilves?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Jaro won 0, Ilves won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaro vs Ilves?
Jaro score 0.94 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jaro's matches and 69% of Ilves's.
What form are Jaro and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games Jaro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ilves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaro vs Ilves?
The statistical background for Jaro vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.