JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II: match statistics

JDFS Alberts have a clear home advantage: they win 57% of their home matches, while Riga FC II win just 14% of their away games and lose as many as 71%. The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals at home with an xG of 2.10, whereas the visitors manage only 1.14 goals away and fail to score in 43% of such matches. The difference in chance creation is significant, with Alberts averaging 16 shots and 8.14 shots on target per game, compared with 8.2 shots and 3.6 on target for Riga FC II. The visitors’ defense also looks weak: they concede an average of 2.14 goals away from home, have an xG against of 1.85, and have kept no clean sheets. Although Riga FC II have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, their poor away record and Alberts’ attacking potential point towards a home win.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 63% of JDFS Alberts’ matches and 57% of Riga FC II’s fixtures, against a league average of 63%. In the hosts’ last five appearances, both teams scored in as many as 80% of matches, while the visitors recorded this scenario in 60% of their games. JDFS Alberts score an average of 1.88 goals, while Riga FC II concede 2.14, strongly supporting a goal for the hosts. In turn, the JDFS Alberts defense allows opponents 1.63 goals per match, while Riga FC II score 1.14 on average; additionally, the visitors have kept no clean sheets this season. The high percentages of matches featuring over 2.5 goals—75% and 71%—along with both teams’ recent average of 1.8 goals scored, further strengthen the BTTS - Yes selection.

Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches, providing an exceptionally strong signal for at least two goals. JDFS Alberts score an average of 1.88 goals per match, while Riga FC II concede as many as 2.14, with the hosts recording 6.25 shots on target per game compared to 3.60 for the visitors. Riga FC II average 1.14 goals scored, but Alberts’ defense concedes 1.63 goals on average, making a goal for the visitors a realistic scenario as well. In their last five matches, both teams scored 9 goals, while matches involving the visitors finished Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases. The projected total of 3.15 goals also supports Over 2.5, although Over 1.5 has the highest probability and is the safest selection.

JDFS Alberts have a clear advantage in the full-season data: they won 63% of their matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, while Riga FC II won only 14% and lost 71%. The strongest signal concerns the first half, as the hosts held a lead at the break in 63% of their appearances, scoring an average of 1.25 goals, whereas the visitors were behind at half-time in 57% of matches and scored just 0.43 goals. Alberts also average 6.25 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 3.6, have the higher xG at 1.42 versus 1.13, and Riga FC II concede an average of 2.14 goals per match. The visitors’ form over their last five matches is better, with three wins and an average of 2.0 points, but this advantage does not offset the gap in away results and first-half performances. An Alberts lead at half-time followed by a win is therefore the most likely scenario, although the high average of 3.5 goals in the hosts’ matches increases the risk of a turnaround after the break.