JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki: match statistics
JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
JEF United played against V-Varen Nagasaki in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Fukuda Denshi Arena. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
JEF United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. V-Varen Nagasaki has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
JEF United scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 2.25. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.25 and allows 1.88. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of JEF United's games and 63% of V-Varen Nagasaki's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 63%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
V-Varen Nagasaki has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.14 per game. JEF United takes 9.6 shots per game, while V-Varen Nagasaki takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
JEF United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
JEF United's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For V-Varen Nagasaki, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J1 League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JEF United sit 20th and V-Varen Nagasaki 15th, but the record in these conditions favors the hosts: JEF have won 1 of 3 home matches, while the visitors have lost all 3 away games. JEF create chances worth an average of 1.18 xG at home, while Nagasaki manage just 0.69 xG away, averaging 1.67 shots on target per match compared with the hosts’ 2.67. Both defenses allow opponents chances, but the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals away from home, against 2.00 conceded by JEF at home. Over their last five matches, both teams have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so their current form does not point to a clear favorite. Nagasaki’s poor away results and JEF’s greater chance creation give the hosts a moderate edge, although their 6 losses in 8 matches this season call for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 60% of JEF United’s matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki’s, giving a slight edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario. The hosts average 1.4 goals per match, while the visitors concede 2.67, making a JEF United goal look likely. V-Varen’s chances are supported by the fact that JEF United concede an average of 1.4 goals and keep a clean sheet in only 20% of their matches. However, caution is warranted: the visitors record just 0.69 xG and 1.67 shots on target per match, although their average xG has risen to 1.33 over their last five games. Therefore, BTTS - Yes has a slight, rather than decisive, edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of JEF United matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki matches. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.57 xG and record 5.2 shots on target per game, while the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals and allow opponents 1.90 xG. V-Varen produce just 0.69 xG and 1.67 shots on target per game in attack, so I assess their goal contribution more cautiously at 1.05, compared with 1.75 for JEF. Although Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of the hosts' matches and 67% of the visitors' matches, the figures in their last five games were 40% and 20%, respectively, making the 1.5 line a clearer indicator.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is JEF United leading at the break and holding on to that advantage until full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their 5 home matches, while V-Varen Nagasaki were trailing at that point in 2 of their 3 away games. The visitors have yet to score before half-time on the road, whereas JEF average 0.8 first-half goals at home. The hosts’ advantage is supported by an average xG of 1.57 compared with 0.69 for the visitors, as well as 5.2 shots on target per match versus 1.67. Nagasaki have lost all 3 of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.67 goals, which supports the 1/1 pick, although the sample is small. The risk of a draw remains significant, as JEF have drawn 40% of their home matches and concede an average of 1 goal after half-time, the same number the visitors score in second halves away from home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| JEF United | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - JEF United · 1 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - JEF United · 1.25 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.25 goals / game - JEF United · 1.88 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki
JEF United scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while JEF United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JEF United
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - JEF United · 1.38 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JEF United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
JEF United
V-Varen Nagasaki
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| JEF United | Liga | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from JEF United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against V-Varen Nagasaki. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The J1 League match finished JEF United 1:1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between JEF United and V-Varen Nagasaki?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches JEF United won 0, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
JEF United score 0.88 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.25. The J1 League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of JEF United's matches and 63% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.
What form are JEF United and V-Varen Nagasaki in?
Over the last 5 games JEF United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The statistical background for JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.