Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Jubilo Iwata played against Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Yamaha Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Jubilo Iwata has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sagan Tosu has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Jubilo Iwata scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.15. Sagan Tosu scores 1.08 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Jubilo Iwata's games and 38% of Sagan Tosu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 38%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sagan Tosu has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.50 per game. Jubilo Iwata takes 13.0 shots per game, while Sagan Tosu takes 15.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Jubilo Iwata leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Sagan Tosu leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Jubilo Iwata's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Sagan Tosu, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J2 League games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Sagan Tosu have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals in the process, their away form is significantly weaker: they are yet to win on the road and have lost 67% of their away games. Away from home, the visitors score an average of just 0.5 goals per match and have failed to find the net in 67% of their appearances, despite creating chances worth an average xG of 1.67. Jubilo Iwata also have problems in front of goal, scoring 3 goals in their last 5 league matches and converting just 5% of their shots at home. However, they concede an average of 0.83 goals per home game, compared with 1.33 goals conceded by Sagan away from home. The hosts create slightly better chances on their own ground, posting an xG of 1.76, and average 4.83 shots on target per match, compared with 3.17 for the visitors away. Home advantage and Sagan's struggles on the road point in Jubilo's favor, although their run of 3 draws in their last 5 matches means a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Sagan Tosu’s away scoring record: the visitors average 0.5 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their away matches. Jubilo Iwata have kept a clean sheet in 57% of their home games, further increasing the risk of Sagan drawing a blank. The hosts average 1.57 goals at home and have scored in every such match, but their average has fallen to 0.6 goals over their last 5 games. Sagan have recently improved in attack, scoring 1.6 goals with an xG of 1.93 across their last 5 matches, so the chances of both teams scoring remain significant. Despite this improvement, the visitors’ poor away scoring record and season-long BTTS rates of 43% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors give a slight edge to BTTS - No, meaning at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was hit in 71% of Júbilo Iwata’s home matches and 83% of Sagan Tosu’s away games. The hosts average 1.57 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.33 on the road, which supports a Júbilo goal but not necessarily a high-scoring game. Sagan score just 0.5 goals per away match and failed to score in 67% of those games, although they have improved to an average of 1.6 goals across their last five matches overall. This uptick, along with the visitors’ xG of 1.93 over their last five appearances, increases the risk of the Over, so the forecast projects 2.4 total goals but still favors Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Jubilo Iwata’s home advantage: the hosts have won 5 of their 7 such matches and score an average of 1.57 goals, while Sagan Tosu have failed to win any of their 6 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals in those matches. Jubilo had a lead at the break in 4 of their 7 home matches and did not concede in the first half on any occasion; Sagan have not led at the break in any of their away games. The hosts’ record after half-time also supports them holding on to a lead: they average 1.00 goals scored, compared with 0.33 for the visitors in their corresponding away matches. However, caution is warranted, as Sagan have won 4 of their last 5 matches, regardless of venue, while Jubilo have won just once. Despite the visitors’ better recent form, their poor away results and failure to lead at the break make a home lead at both half-time and full-time the most likely single outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Jubilo Iwata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sagan Tosu is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Jubilo Iwata · 1.8 pts / game - Sagan Tosu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jubilo Iwata scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 games), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 games).
Sagan Tosu scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while Jubilo Iwata keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jubilo Iwata
Over / Under - Sagan Tosu
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sagan Tosu is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Jubilo Iwata · 1.46 pts / game - Sagan Tosu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jubilo Iwata - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sagan Tosu - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Jubilo Iwata | Liga | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.23 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 66% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Jubilo Iwata's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sagan Tosu. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The J2 League match finished Jubilo Iwata 2:0 Sagan Tosu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Jubilo Iwata won 2, Sagan Tosu won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata score 1.08 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.08. The J2 League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Jubilo Iwata's matches and 38% of Sagan Tosu's.
What form are Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu in?
Over the last 5 games Jubilo Iwata have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The statistical background for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.