Junior vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. At home, Junior displays solid form with a 50% win rate and a ball possession advantage of 62%, indicating game control. Atlético Nacional has a better overall season record (6 wins), but they perform much worse on the road with a 50% loss rate and zero draws, suggesting instability. The key factor is the similar average of goals scored and conceded by both teams, along with comparable xG values, confirming evenly matched sides. Recent form over the last five matches also fails to point out a clear favorite - Junior averages 1.4 points per game, while Nacional averages 1.8, albeit with higher result volatility. Given the hosts' possession advantage and the visitors' away instability, a draw seems the most likely scenario, with a slight edge for the home side.
Junior vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Junior played against Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 11, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Junior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Junior scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.22. Atlético Nacional scores 2.13 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Junior's games and 50% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 75%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.61 per game. Junior takes 15.2 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 16.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Junior leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Junior's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. At home, Junior displays solid form with a 50% win rate and a ball possession advantage of 62%, indicating game control. Atlético Nacional has a better overall season record (6 wins), but they perform much worse on the road with a 50% loss rate and zero draws, suggesting instability. The key factor is the similar average of goals scored and conceded by both teams, along with comparable xG values, confirming evenly matched sides. Recent form over the last five matches also fails to point out a clear favorite - Junior averages 1.4 points per game, while Nacional averages 1.8, albeit with higher result volatility. Given the hosts' possession advantage and the visitors' away instability, a draw seems the most likely scenario, with a slight edge for the home side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Junior | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Junior · 1.8 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Junior · 2.13 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Junior · 0.75 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Junior scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Junior
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - Junior · 1.5 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Junior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Junior
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Junior | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.89 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Junior's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Atlético Nacional. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Junior vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Junior 0:4 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Junior won 3, Atlético Nacional won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Atlético Nacional?
Junior score 1.67 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.13. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Junior's matches and 50% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Junior and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Junior have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Atlético Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Junior vs Atlético Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.