Brazil - Serie BEstádio Alfredo JaconiData current as of October 22, 2026

Juventude vs Náutico: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Juventude vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Juventude plays Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 26, 2026. Venue: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent form

Juventude has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Náutico has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Juventude scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 0.68. Náutico scores 1.15 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 26% of Juventude's games and 44% of Náutico's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Náutico has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.39 per game. Juventude takes 12.9 shots per game, while Náutico takes 16.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Juventude leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Náutico leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

Juventude's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Náutico, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.62)
(3.75)
(5.12)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

JuventudeNáutico
1.21Goals scored / game1.15
JuventudeNáutico
0.68Goals allowed / game1.24
JuventudeNáutico
51%Average possession57%
JuventudeNáutico
4.26Shots on target / game4.41
JuventudeNáutico

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.91Shots per game16.29
JuventudeNáutico
4.26Shots on target4.41
JuventudeNáutico
9.3%Shot conversion7%
JuventudeNáutico
51%Possession57%
JuventudeNáutico
1.39xG for1.75
JuventudeNáutico
1.31xG against1.45
JuventudeNáutico

Shooting quality

Juventude: BalancedNáutico: Dominant
JuventudeNáutico
Accuracy (shots on target)33%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Juventude is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Juventude · 1 pts / game - Náutico

Juventude
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W29% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-7
1.79 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Náutico
WDLLD
Season result split
32% W29% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-7
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Juventude is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

1.21 goals / game - Juventude · 1.15 goals / game - Náutico

Juventude is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.68 goals / game - Juventude · 1.24 goals / game - Náutico

Juventude scoring profile: very strong

Juventude scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 games), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 games).

Náutico scoring profile: more difficult

Náutico scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 games), while Juventude keeps a clean sheet in 65% (22 of 34 games).

41Goals scored (season)39
JuventudeNáutico
23Goals conceded (season)42
JuventudeNáutico
1.88Average goals per game2.38
JuventudeNáutico
10Goals scored (last 5)4
JuventudeNáutico
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
JuventudeNáutico

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal62%
JuventudeNáutico
38%2 goals26%
JuventudeNáutico
9%3 goals15%
JuventudeNáutico
0%4 goals6%
JuventudeNáutico

How often they concede at least...

35%1 goal74%
JuventudeNáutico
26%2 goals35%
JuventudeNáutico
3%3 goals12%
JuventudeNáutico
3%4 goals3%
JuventudeNáutico

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time12%
JuventudeNáutico
3%BTTS in both halves6%
JuventudeNáutico
21%Scored in both halves21%
JuventudeNáutico

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
JuventudeNáutico
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
JuventudeNáutico
40%BTTS - last 540%
JuventudeNáutico

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
JuventudeNáutico
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
JuventudeNáutico

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
JuventudeNáutico
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
JuventudeNáutico

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Juventude is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / game - Juventude · 0.97 pts / game - Náutico

Juventude - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing
Náutico - half-time state
21% leading35% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per game (1st half)0.97
JuventudeNáutico
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.35
JuventudeNáutico
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
JuventudeNáutico
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.06
JuventudeNáutico
74%Clean sheet before half-time47%
JuventudeNáutico
62%No goal before half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per game (2nd half)1.56
JuventudeNáutico
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
JuventudeNáutico
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
JuventudeNáutico
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.32
JuventudeNáutico
74%Clean sheet after half-time62%
JuventudeNáutico
44%No goal after half-time47%
JuventudeNáutico

Juventude - second-half results

44% W41% D15% L
50
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Náutico - second-half results

38% W41% D21% L
33
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Juventude - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Náutico - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal80%20%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Juventude
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
4
16-30
11
7
31-45
7
3
46-60
9
3
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
2
6
16-30
7
10
31-45
4
4
46-60
9
4
61-75
14
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.14
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Juventude

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

JuventudeLigaNáutico
Average goals per game▼ 1.882.33• 2.38
Both teams scored▼ 26%47%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 32%43%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 65%31%▼ 26%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%67%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%74%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Juventude's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Náutico. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Juventude and Náutico play?

Juventude face Náutico on October 26, 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Juventude vs Náutico?

Juventude score 1.21 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.15. The Serie B average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Juventude's matches and 44% of Náutico's.

What form are Juventude and Náutico in?

Over the last 5 games Juventude have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Náutico 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventude vs Náutico?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Juventude vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.