KA vs ÍA: match statistics
KA vs ÍA: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
KA played against ÍA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on July 12, 2026. Venue: Akureyrarvöllur. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
KA has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. ÍA has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
KA scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 2.15. ÍA scores 1.31 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 4.00 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of KA's games and 62% of ÍA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 62%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
ÍA has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.64 per game. KA takes 14.4 shots per game, while ÍA takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
KA leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. ÍA leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
KA's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For ÍA, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.00 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) because KA is in severe decline — 0 points in the last five matches and 5 straight losses, conceding 18 goals in that span (3.6 per game). At home KA averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, with only a 17% win rate and 83% loss rate at home, which clearly undermines their chances. ÍA displays superior offensive metrics on the road: 5.29 shots on target and 1.57 goals per game with 11% conversion versus KA’s 4.33 shots on target and 1.33 goals, and higher xG per game 1.68 vs 1.54. The visitors also have a better recent five-match defensive record: 1 win and an average of 0.6 points per game and 11 goals conceded (2.2 per game), which compared to KA’s 18 conceded in the same period gives them a defensive edge. Considering these figures and ÍA’s higher away efficiency, the most likely outcome is an away victory, with a moderate chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
League and team indicators strongly point to BTTS: KA has a seasonal BTTS 67%, ÍA 57%, and league-wide BTTS occurs in 74% of matches. In the last 5 games KA had BTTS 100%, scoring 10 and conceding 18 (avg 2.0 scored and 3.6 conceded), while ÍA in their last 5 scored 6 and conceded 11 (1.2 and 2.2). xG confirms open games: KA generates 1.64 xG and concedes 1.44 xG, ÍA generates 1.68 xG and concedes 1.86 xG, so both teams create and allow about 1.4–1.9 xG per match. Clean sheets are rare (KA 17%, ÍA 14%), seasonal tallies are 19 scored/28 conceded for KA and 17/25 for ÍA, and Over 2.5 is 50% for KA and 71% for ÍA, therefore I back BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% versus 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines each side’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: KA has ~1.75 expected goals (attacking xG 1.64 vs opponent xG conceded 1.86), and ÍA ~1.56 (attacking xG 1.68 vs KA defense 1.44), yielding ~3.31 total expected goals. Season metrics indicate strong goal potential — KA has 83% of matches over 1.5 goals, ÍA 71%, and the league averages 4.0 goals per game with 71% of fixtures over 2.5. In the last 5 matches KA scored 10 and conceded 18 (avg 2.0 scored, 3.6 conceded), while ÍA scored 6 and conceded 11 (1.2 and 2.2), confirming a tendency toward high-scoring affairs. Additionally BTTS occurs in 67% of KA games and 57% of ÍA games (league 74%), and Over 2.5 appears in 71% of ÍA games and 50% of KA games, so the strongest signal is for Over. I recommend Over 1.5 as the optimal line (estimated probability ~88%), with a strong indication for Over 2.5 (~69%) based on the combined xG of 3.31 and high BTTS rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I anticipate a draw — the away side were level at the break in 57% of matches (4 of 7), while the home team led at half-time in 50% of games (3 of 6), indicating an even first half. In the second half the away team are the favorites: they score on average 1.14 goals after the break, the hosts concede on average 1.17 goals after the break, with average second-half goals of 2.71 in the away team’s matches versus 1.67 in the hosts’ matches. The away team are also more efficient — a shot conversion rate of 11% compared to 7% for the hosts, with a similar xG of 1.68 (away) vs 1.64 (home), suggesting an advantage in finishing chances. The hosts are in poor form (5 defeats in their last 5 matches), while the away team have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5 (LWLLL), so the strongest signal points to a draw at half-time and a turnaround with the away team winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| KA | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KA is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.46 goals / game - KA · 1.31 goals / game - ÍA
ÍA is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.15 goals / game - KA · 1.92 goals / game - ÍA
KA scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
ÍA scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KA
Over / Under - ÍA
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍA is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / game - KA · 1.31 pts / game - ÍA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
KA
ÍA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KA | Liga | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.62 | 4.00 | ▼ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 15% | 14% | • 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 88% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from KA's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against ÍA. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of KA vs ÍA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KA 3:2 ÍA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KA and ÍA?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KA won 2, ÍA won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KA vs ÍA?
KA score 1.46 goals per game on average and ÍA 1.31. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 69% of KA's matches and 62% of ÍA's.
What form are KA and ÍA in?
Over the last 5 games KA have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and ÍA 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KA vs ÍA?
The statistical background for KA vs ÍA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.