Kairat vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
Kairat vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kairat play Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Kairat: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kairat scores 1.89 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.50 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kairat 50%, Yelimay Semey 63%. Over 2.5: Kairat 50%, Yelimay Semey 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.67. Kairat: 16.0 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 14.5.
Match halves
Kairat: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Kairat: 76-90+ (10 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back Kairat to win given their perfect home record: 100% wins, an average of 2.33 goals scored and 0 conceded per home match, and 100% clean sheets. Offensively the hosts generate more chances: 19 average shots and 5.67 shots on target per game with home xG 1.93, whereas Yelimay record 13.67 shots, 5.33 on target and xG 1.61 away. Kairat’s defense is decisive — average xG against of 0.92 and formally no goals conceded at home, while Yelimay have 1.24 xG against on the road, only 33% clean sheets and 0.67 goals conceded per away match. However, the visitors are in very good form: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, 12 goals scored in that period and an average of 2.6 points per game across those five fixtures. Considering Kairat’s superiority in chance creation (19 vs 13.67 shots) and their perfect home defense (0 conceded, 100% CS), I estimate the probabilities as: Kairat win 60%, draw 20%, Yelimay win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kairat | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kairat · 1.8 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Kairat · 1.5 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Kairat is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Kairat · 1.19 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Kairat scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Yelimay Semey scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kairat
Over / Under — Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kairat is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Kairat · 1.31 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kairat
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kairat | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kairat 0 - 0 - 2 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kairat 2:2 Yelimay Semey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kairat and Yelimay Semey?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kairat won 0, Yelimay Semey won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
Kairat score 1.89 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.50. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kairat's matches and 63% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Kairat and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Kairat have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
The statistical background for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.