Kapaz vs Neftçi: match statistics
Kapaz vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kapaz played against Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on May 22, 2026. Venue: Şəhər stadionu. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Kapaz has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Neftçi has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Kapaz scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.88. Neftçi scores 1.75 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Kapaz's games and 50% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 56%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.17 per game. Kapaz takes 9.7 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Kapaz leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.06 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kapaz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi is the clear favorite: they sit 4th with 56 goals this season, while Kapaz are 10th with 25. At home Kapaz average 0.8 goals, whereas Neftçi average 1.81 on the road. The defensive gap is significant — Neftçi concede 0.88 goals away on average, Kapaz concede 1.67 at home, with away goal difference +15 for Neftçi vs -13 for Kapaz. In the last 5 matches Neftçi scored 11 goals, won 4 of 5 and averaged 2.4 points, while Kapaz had 3 goals, 2 wins and 1.2 points average. Neftçi creates more chances and converts better — 5.38 shots on target per game and 16% conversion rate versus 3.6 on target and 8% for Kapaz; Kapaz failed to score in 47% of home matches, while Neftçi were shut out in only 25% of away games. Given superior xG (1.54 vs 1.27), higher attacking efficiency and defensive stability (clean sheets in 38% of Neftçi away games vs 20% of Kapaz home games), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project a 60% probability for no BTTS and 40% for BTTS (yes). Neftçi averages 1.81 goals away and has scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game), so they are more likely to score, while Kapaz has managed only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 per game) and featured BTTS in 20% of those fixtures. Seasonally both teams have BTTS at 50%, but across the season Kapaz scored 25 and conceded 60 goals, and Neftçi scored 56 and conceded 32 — this suggests Kapaz concedes more often but struggles offensively. The xG differential shows a similar picture: Kapaz season xG_for is 1.76, but in the last 5 its xG dropped to 1.10 and does not convert into goals (0.6), whereas Neftçi has last 5 xG_for of 1.36 and still maintains 2.2 goals per game. Given these figures the most convincing signal is that only one side (primarily Neftçi) will score — therefore I pick 'No' (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect about 2.82 total goals in this match: home ~1.49 (attack xG 1.76 and xG conceded vs visitors 1.21 → average 1.49), away ~1.33 (attack xG 1.54 and xG conceded vs home 1.12 → 1.33). The 1.5 line is very likely — Kapaz has season Over1.5 at 63%, Neftçi 88%, which combined with the expected total of 2.82 gives a high probability of Over1.5 (~84%). At the 2.5 line I see a strong signal for Over: both teams have season Over2.5 at 56%, the league averages 2.55 goals per match, and Neftçi has 100% Over2.5 in their last 5 matches, so I rate Over2.5 at about 62%. The 3.5 line is less attractive, since season Over3.5 is 38% for both sides and the expected total 2.82 is below 3.5 (Over3.5 ~31%), therefore I pick the Over on the 2.5 line as the best signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A halftime draw appears the most natural outcome — Kapaz have been level at the break in 50% of matches, while Neftçi have been level at halftime in 63% of their games, so a high probability of a HT draw is justified. Over the full 90 minutes Neftçi have the greater chances: the visitors have won 56% of matches this season and average 2.0 points per game versus Kapaz’s 1.5. Neftçi are also more efficient — their xG is 1.54 compared to Kapaz’s 1.76, but shot conversion is 16% versus the hosts’ 12%, indicating better chance conversion. In the last 5 matches Neftçi have an 80% win rate versus Kapaz’s 40% and have scored 8 goals by halftime in those five games (Kapaz only 2); additionally, the visitors average 2.0 points in second halves versus the hosts’ 1.25, which supports a turnaround after the break. As a result, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Neftçi win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Kapaz · 2.4 pts / game - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 124% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - Kapaz · 1.75 goals / game - Neftçi
Neftçi is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Kapaz · 1 goals / game - Neftçi
Kapaz scores in 47% of games (15 of 32 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 meczów).
Neftçi scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapaz
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - Kapaz · 1.5 pts / game - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kapaz
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.66 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kapaz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Neftçi. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 0:1 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kapaz and Neftçi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 0, Neftçi won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Neftçi?
Kapaz score 0.78 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.75. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Kapaz's matches and 50% of Neftçi's.
What form are Kapaz and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Neftçi 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Neftçi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.