Kapaz vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Qarabağ are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The away team is in dominant form on the road with an 80% win rate and a nine-match unbeaten streak (wwwwdlwwww). Kapaz are in 10th position with just an 18% home win rate and a disastrous run of five consecutive home defeats. The quality gap is evident in the statistics: Qarabağ score an average of 2.3 goals away from home with 64% possession, while Kapaz net only 0.82 goals at home, conceding an average of 1.91 goals. Additionally, Qarabağ have superior xG figures (1.82 vs 1.2) and have never failed to score in an away match this season. Taking all these factors into account, an away win is the most likely outcome.
Kapaz vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Kapaz played against Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Kapaz has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Qarabağ has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Kapaz scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 2.00. Qarabağ scores 2.09 and allows 0.74. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Kapaz's games and 43% of Qarabağ's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 43%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 1.97 to 1.15 per game. Kapaz takes 9.8 shots per game, while Qarabağ takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Kapaz leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Qarabağ leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Kapaz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Qarabağ, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The away team is in dominant form on the road with an 80% win rate and a nine-match unbeaten streak (wwwwdlwwww). Kapaz are in 10th position with just an 18% home win rate and a disastrous run of five consecutive home defeats. The quality gap is evident in the statistics: Qarabağ score an average of 2.3 goals away from home with 64% possession, while Kapaz net only 0.82 goals at home, conceding an average of 1.91 goals. Additionally, Qarabağ have superior xG figures (1.82 vs 1.2) and have never failed to score in an away match this season. Taking all these factors into account, an away win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qarabağ is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Kapaz · 2.6 pts / game - Qarabağ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 152% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Kapaz · 2.09 goals / game - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 170% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Kapaz · 0.74 goals / game - Qarabağ
Kapaz scores in 46% of games (11 of 24 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Qarabağ scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapaz
Over / Under - Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 139% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Kapaz · 1.7 pts / game - Qarabağ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Kapaz
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Kapaz's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Qarabağ. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 1:0 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kapaz and Qarabağ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kapaz won 1, Qarabağ won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Qarabağ?
Kapaz score 0.83 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.09. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kapaz's matches and 43% of Qarabağ's.
What form are Kapaz and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Qarabağ 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Qarabağ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.