Karela vs Heart of Lions: match statistics
Karela vs Heart of Lions: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Karela played against Heart of Lions in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Karela has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Heart of Lions has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Karela scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 0.93. Heart of Lions scores 0.93 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Karela's games and 29% of Heart of Lions's. The Over 2.5 rates are 21% and 36%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heart of Lions has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.03 per game. Karela takes 5.9 shots per game, while Heart of Lions takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Karela leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Heart of Lions leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Karela's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Heart of Lions, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ghana Premier League games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karela is the favorite in this matchup due to home dominance: 77% home win rate, an average of only 0.38 goals conceded per home match and 69% of home games with a clean sheet. Heart of Lions perform poorly away — only a 7% win rate, averaging 0.71 goals scored per away match with 57% of away games without scoring and 1.43 goals conceded. Seasonal offensive totals are comparable (Karela 27 goals vs Heart 26), but Karela converts better at home (14% shot conversion vs 10% for the visitors) and has a superior home xG balance (1.11 xG for vs 0.6 xG against), whereas Heart away posts xG for 1.23 and xG against 1.43. In the last 5 matches Karela scored 3 and conceded 3 (2-1-2, 1.4 points per game), while Heart scored 4 and conceded 4 (2-2-1, 1.6 points per game), indicating the visitors pick up slightly more points but their away finishing and defense are major weaknesses. Considering the hosts’ defensive edge and home efficiency and the visitors’ away problems, I predict a Karela victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS because Karela at home has 71% clean sheets and only 14% of matches with both teams scoring, with BTTS in the last 5 home games at 0%. Heart of Lions averages 0.71 goals per game and fails to score in 57% of matches, even though they concede 1.43 on average, which means the away side more often finish goalless than produce BTTS. In the last 5 games both teams showed low output (Karela 0.6 goals and Heart of Lions 0.8 goals), and the league season BTTS rate is 33%, only slightly above Karela’s home figures. Although xG indicates some chances (xG_for_avg_home 1.74 vs xG_for_avg_away 1.23), Karela actually concedes just 0.36 goals per game and has last5 xG against of 0.0, so the strongest signal from the data is that both teams will not score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 1.74 + 1.23 = 2.97, which is significantly higher than the seasonal goal averages of 1.14 (Karela) and 0.71 (Heart), totaling 1.85. Aggregating each team’s offense against the opponent’s defense yields expected goals of ≈1.59 for Karela and ≈1.12 for Heart of Lions, together ≈2.71 goals. Karela averages 12.31 shots per match versus Heart’s 9.0; with conversion rates of 9% and 10% this produces simple estimates of 1.11 and 0.90 goals, so even conservative calculations suggest more than 2 goals. Seasonal indicators are mixed (Karela has 71% clean sheets and concedes 0.36 on average, while Heart has 50% of matches over 2.5 goals), but the xG and shot-volume advantage favor goals. Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (estimated probability ≈75%; Over 2.5 ≈51%, Over 3.5 ≈29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The favorite is Karela: the home side have won 64% of matches versus just 7% for Heart of Lions and average 2.07 points per game compared to 0.57 for the visitors. At Half-Time Karela led in 8 matches (57% of fixtures), scoring an average of 0.79 goals by the break versus 0.29 for the away side and conceding only 0.07 goals at Half-Time vs 0.64 for Heart of Lions. The advantage is supported by xG: 1.74 for the hosts versus 1.23 for the guests, with xG against the visitors at 1.43, indicating Karela creates more chances and the visitors are more exposed to conceding. Karela also have a high clean sheet rate (71%) and a low proportion of matches where both teams score (14%), so when the hosts hold a lead at the break they often maintain it until Full-Time. On that basis the most probable HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (52%), allowing for X/X (22%) and X/1 (11%), with the combined chance of an away victory remaining low (~7%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Karela | Heart of Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karela scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Heart of Lions keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 meczów).
Heart of Lions scores in 57% of games (16 of 28 meczów), while Karela keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karela
Over / Under - Heart of Lions
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karela - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Heart of Lions - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Karela
Heart of Lions
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Karela | Liga | Heart of Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.89 | 1.87 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Karela's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Heart of Lions. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Karela vs Heart of Lions?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Karela 2:2 Heart of Lions. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karela vs Heart of Lions?
Karela score 0.96 goals per game on average and Heart of Lions 0.93. The Ghana Premier League average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Karela's matches and 29% of Heart of Lions's.
What form are Karela and Heart of Lions in?
Over the last 5 games Karela have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Heart of Lions 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karela vs Heart of Lions?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karela vs Heart of Lions: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.