Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar: match statistics
Karpaty seem to have an edge in this match, despite their recent poor form. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics at home – averaging 1.1 goals per match with an xG of 1.89, indicating unfinished chances that could turn around. Obolon-Brovar shows very poor efficiency away from home (0.89 goals/match, 44% loss rate), as well as the highest FTS% rate of 44%, meaning frequent struggles to score. Karpaty also have an advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and significantly more shots on target (5.3 vs 2.78), which should translate into greater control of the match. Given the identical form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG each), the hosts' offensive edge and home support will be crucial, giving them a real chance to win.
Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Karpaty played against Obolon-Brovar in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Karpaty has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Obolon-Brovar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Karpaty scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.30. Obolon-Brovar scores 0.85 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Karpaty's games and 40% of Obolon-Brovar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 55%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Karpaty has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.02 per game. Karpaty takes 14.2 shots per game, while Obolon-Brovar takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Karpaty leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Obolon-Brovar leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Karpaty's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Obolon-Brovar, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karpaty seem to have an edge in this match, despite their recent poor form. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics at home – averaging 1.1 goals per match with an xG of 1.89, indicating unfinished chances that could turn around. Obolon-Brovar shows very poor efficiency away from home (0.89 goals/match, 44% loss rate), as well as the highest FTS% rate of 44%, meaning frequent struggles to score. Karpaty also have an advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and significantly more shots on target (5.3 vs 2.78), which should translate into greater control of the match. Given the identical form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG each), the hosts' offensive edge and home support will be crucial, giving them a real chance to win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Karpaty | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Obolon-Brovar is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Karpaty · 1.4 pts / game - Obolon-Brovar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karpaty is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Karpaty · 0.85 goals / game - Obolon-Brovar
Karpaty is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - Karpaty · 1.45 goals / game - Obolon-Brovar
Karpaty scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Obolon-Brovar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
Obolon-Brovar scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karpaty
Over / Under - Obolon-Brovar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karpaty is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Karpaty · 1.15 pts / game - Obolon-Brovar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Obolon-Brovar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Karpaty
Obolon-Brovar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Karpaty | Liga | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.55 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Karpaty's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Obolon-Brovar. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Karpaty 4:0 Obolon-Brovar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
Karpaty score 1.25 goals per game on average and Obolon-Brovar 0.85. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Karpaty's matches and 40% of Obolon-Brovar's.
What form are Karpaty and Obolon-Brovar in?
Over the last 5 games Karpaty have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Obolon-Brovar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
The statistical background for Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.