Karpaty vs Zorya: match statistics
Karpaty vs Zorya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karpaty play Zorya in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Ukrajina. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Karpaty: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Zorya: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karpaty scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Zorya scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karpaty 37%, Zorya 60%. Over 2.5: Karpaty 40%, Zorya 53%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Karpaty has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.42. Karpaty: 13.6 shots per match, Zorya: 12.1.
Match halves
Karpaty: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Zorya: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Karpaty: 46-60 (10 goals). Zorya: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Karpaty create more chances at home than Zorya do away: on average 15.36 shots and 5.64 on target per match with xG 1.83 versus 12.21 shots, 4.93 on target and xG 1.42 for the visitors. Defensively the hosts look more solid — Karpaty concede 1.14 goals per match at home and keep 43% clean sheets, while Zorya concede 1.57 goals away and have only 7% clean sheets. Zorya make up for it with form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws, earning 2.2 points per match in that period versus Karpaty’s 1.6, and a higher shot conversion 12% versus 9%, translating to 1.5 goals scored away compared to the hosts’ 1.36. Both teams scored 7 and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, so the match should be balanced, but Karpaty’s higher xG (1.83 vs 1.42) and better home defense give them a slight edge. Therefore I indicate a home win (1) with probability distribution: home 45%, draw 30%, away 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karpaty | Zorya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zorya is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Karpaty · 2.2 pts / match - Zorya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zorya is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Karpaty · 1.4 goals / match - Zorya
Karpaty is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Karpaty · 1.2 goals / match - Zorya
Karpaty scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Zorya keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Zorya scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Karpaty
Over / Under — Zorya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zorya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karpaty
Zorya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Karpaty | Liga | Zorya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.57 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karpaty 0 - 0 - 1 Zorya. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karpaty vs Zorya?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Karpaty 1:2 Zorya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karpaty vs Zorya?
Karpaty score 1.33 goals per game on average and Zorya 1.40. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Karpaty's matches and 60% of Zorya's.
What form are Karpaty and Zorya in?
Over the last 5 games Karpaty have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Zorya 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karpaty vs Zorya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karpaty vs Zorya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.