Japan - J1 LeagueKashima Soccer StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Kashima Antlers plays V-Varen Nagasaki in J1 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Recent form

Kashima Antlers has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. V-Varen Nagasaki has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Kashima Antlers scores 2.11 goals per game and allows 1.78. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.22 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Kashima Antlers's games and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 56%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Kashima Antlers has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.27 per game. Kashima Antlers takes 16.2 shots per game, while V-Varen Nagasaki takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Kashima Antlers leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.44 goals per game after halftime. V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Kashima Antlers's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For V-Varen Nagasaki, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.52)
(4.47)
(6.05)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
2.11Goals scored / game1.22
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.78Goals allowed / game1.78
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
58%Average possession45%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
4.44Shots on target / game3.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.22Shots per game11.44
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
4.44Shots on target3.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
13%Shot conversion10.7%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
58%Possession45%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.76xG for1.27
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.37xG against1.68
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Shooting quality

Kashima Antlers: DominantV-Varen Nagasaki: Balanced
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
Accuracy (shots on target)27%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Kashima Antlers · 1.2 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers
LLLDW
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
V-Varen Nagasaki
DLWDD
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kashima Antlers is 73% better for: goals scored per game.

2.11 goals / game - Kashima Antlers · 1.22 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers scoring profile: very strong

Kashima Antlers scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: very strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Kashima Antlers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

19Goals scored (season)11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
16Goals conceded (season)16
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
3.89Average goals per game3
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
78%2 goals44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%3 goals0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%4 goals0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal89%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
56%2 goals44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%3 goals33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%4 goals11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
67%Scored in both halves11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
60%BTTS - last 580%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kashima Antlers is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Kashima Antlers · 1.22 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.22
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
44%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%No goal before half-time67%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per game (2nd half)0.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
2.44Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%No goal after half-time44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

22% W22% D56% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kashima Antlers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Kashima Antlers
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Kashima Antlers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.98
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Kashima AntlersLigaV-Varen Nagasaki
Average goals per game▲ 3.892.91• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 56%
Clean sheets• 22%23%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%68%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time• 89%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kashima Antlers and V-Varen Nagasaki play?

Kashima Antlers face V-Varen Nagasaki on October 17, 2026 in J1 League at Kashima Soccer Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Kashima Antlers score 2.11 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.22. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Kashima Antlers's matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.

What form are Kashima Antlers and V-Varen Nagasaki in?

Over the last 5 games Kashima Antlers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.